Wednesday, August 26: 49 new cases today, no new deaths. Since the outbreak started: 5,280 cases, 46 deaths.Compare previous report, Tuesday August 25:Summary
- Solano County reported 49 new cases today, total of 5,280 cases since the outbreak started. A mile is 5,280 feet. Imagine about 1 full mile long of Solano County residents standing very close front to back in a line, 5,280 of us. Over the last 2 weeks, Solano reported 866 new cases, an average of 62 per day.
- Deaths – no new deaths today, total of 46 Solano deaths.
- Active cases – Solano reported 24 more ACTIVE cases today, total of 316. Note that only 36 of these 316 people are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined. Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons? Who knows?
- Hospitalizations – the number of currently hospitalized persons were 4 more today, total of 36. However, the total number hospitalized since the outbreak started supposedly remained steady, total of 278. Go figure!? (Note that the County no longer reports Total Hospitalized, but we can add the new hospitalization numbers in the Age Group report – see below.) For a fifth week now, the County offers no information about availability of ICU beds and ventilators.
- Testing – The County reports today that 385 more residents were tested today, new total of 71,236. Solano has a long way to go: only 15.9% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.
Positive Test Rate
Solano County reported today that our 7-day average test rate rose a full percentage point today, from 5.7% to 6.7%. Yesterday the rate fell from 7.0% to only 5.7% today. I find these fluctuations improbable. 7-day averages don’t normally jump like this – they are designed to “smooth out” the volatility of a daily data chart. Someone at the County is likely correcting previous errors, or I just don’t understand something. The County reported a 7-day test rate low of 4.1% on August 11, and the County’s rate peaked at 9.3% on July 22. Not really a smooth ride! Health officials and news reports focus on percent positive test rates as one of the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus. The California 7-day test rate rose from 5.7% yesterday to 5.8% today. (Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity curve chart which also shows daily results. However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results. The 7-day curve also lags behind current unknown results.)
- Youth 17 and under – 6 new cases today, total of 575 cases. No new hospitalizations among this age group, a total of 5 hospitalizations since the outbreak began. Thankfully, no deaths. It is clear that our young people are catching the disease, with a recent increase in hospitalizations. It seems too many youth are ignoring public health orders. Cases among Solano youth are 10.9% of the 5,280 total confirmed cases.
- Persons 18-49 years of age – 26 new cases today, total of 3,203 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents nearly 61% of the 5,280 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups. The County reported no new hospitalizations in this age group today, total of 91 hospitalized since the outbreak began. No new deaths among this age group today, total of 4 deaths. This age group is very active. Some are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us. I expect his group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
- Persons 50-64 years of age – 13 new cases today, total of 1,017 cases. This age group represents 19.3% of the 5,280 total cases. No new hospitalizations, total of 75 hospitalized since the outbreak began. No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 7 deaths.
- Persons 65 years or older – 4 new cases today, total of 484 cases, representing 9.2% of the 5,280 total cases. No new hospitalizations today, total of 107 hospitalized since the outbreak began. In this older age group, just over 22% of cases required hospitalization at one time. This is a much higher percentage than in the lower age groups. No new deaths were reported in this age group today, total of 35 deaths. This group accounts for 35 of the 46 deaths, or 76%.
- Benicia added 2 new cases today, total of 127 cases since the outbreak began.
- Dixon added 2 new cases today, total of 363 cases.
- Fairfield added 22 new cases today, total of 1,686.
- Rio Vista remained steady today, total of 37 cases.
- Suisun City added 5 new cases today, total of 377 cases.
- Vacaville added 8 new cases today, total of 896 cases.
- Vallejo added 10 new cases today, total of 1,777 cases.
- Unincorporated areas – Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 17 cases.
Death rate by Race / Ethnicity
The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics. Again today, I am featuring the tab that shows a calculated rate per 100,000 population by race/ethnicity. This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate worse outcomes among black and brown Americans. Note that the Death Rate comparison here is imperfect, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” with a death rate higher than every other group. Perhaps the best measure is to compare each group to the County’s overall death rate of 10.2/100K. Even then, I am suspicious of the relatively low rate among Latinx Americans – many of them are no doubt included in the Multirace / Other grouping. As of today:
- Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases and 11% of hospitalizations, but 16% of deaths. The death rate for Solano Asian Americans is 11.0 per 100K.
- Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 19% of hospitalizations, and 23% of deaths. The death rate for Black Americans is 15.8 per 100K.
- Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 29% of cases, 33% of hospitalizations, and 28% of deaths. The death rate for Latinx Americans is 10.2 per 100K, up from 9.4 yesterday.
- White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 21% of cases, 22% of hospitalizations and 21% of deaths. The death rate for Solano Whites is 5.1 per 100K.
The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis. The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two. Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.