Thursday, November 12: 166 new cases over 2 days, no new deaths, 3 new hospitalizations. Since the outbreak began: 8,596 cases, 545 hospitalized, 79 deaths.Compare previous report, Tuesday, Nov. 10 (no report on 11/11, Veterans Day)…Summary
- Solano County reported 166 new cases over 2 days, including Veterans Day, following a huge weekend increase of 234 and 64 on Tuesday. Total of 8,596 cases since the outbreak started.
- Deaths – no new deaths reported today, total of 79 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
- Active cases – Solano reported 101 (!) additional active cases today, total of 681. The County has added 288 active cases since last Wednesday! Note that only 35 of these 681 individuals are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined. Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons? Who knows? To my knowledge, Solano County has offered no reports on contact tracing.
- Hospitalizations – Solano County reported the number of CURRENTLY hospitalized persons increased by 4 today, total of 35. TOTAL hospitalized since the outbreak began increased by 3 today, two individuals 18-49 years of age and one person 50-64 years of age, a total of 545 of all ages hospitalized since the outbreak began. According to a November 7 email from Dr. Bela Matyas, the County occasionally updates Age Group hospitalizations retroactively. This accounts for the sudden 106 additions on October 29, a one-day increase of 25% in total hospitalizations. Those 106 had never been recorded as CURRENTLY hospitalized. My take on this is that the County’s daily updates on hospitalizations are nearly meaningless. Nonetheless, I will continue to track both CURRENT hospitalizations and TOTAL hospitalizations since the outbreak began. For manual calculation of total, see age group stats below.
- ICU Beds – The County reported fewer ICU beds available today, down from 35% to 28% entering today into the yellow danger zone. (Still no information about availability of ventilators.)
Positive Test Rate – extremely high, 10.3%
Solano County reported that our 7-day average positive test rate rose today from 11.1% to 10.3%. Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus. The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate has also been on the rise lately, increasing today from 4.2% to 4.4%. (Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results. However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results. The 7-day curve also lags behind current unknown results.)
- Youth 17 and under – 19 new cases over the last two days, total of 1,001 cases, representing 11.7% of the 8,596 total cases. No new hospitalizations reported today. Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age group. But cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued at over 11% since September 30. Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low. The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact 14 youth have now been hospitalized.
- Persons 18-49 years of age – 96 new cases over the last two days, total of 5,023 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups. 2 new hospitalizations reported today, total of 181. No new deaths in this young group today, total of 6 deaths. Some in this group are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us. I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
- Persons 50-64 years of age – 26 new cases over the last two days, total of 1,660 cases. This age group represents over 19% of the 8,596 total cases. 1 new hospitalization reported today, total of 152. No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
- Persons 65 years or older – 25 new cases today, total of 908, representing 10.6% of Solano’s 8,596 total cases. No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 198 since the outbreak began. No new deaths in this age group today, total of 58 of our elders who died of COVID. This group accounts for 58 of the 79 total deaths, or 73%.
- Benicia added 5 new cases today, total of 224 cases since the outbreak began.
- Dixon added 2 new cases today, total of 549 cases.
- Fairfield added 50 new cases today, total of 2,713 cases.
- Rio Vista added 3 new cases today, total of 67 cases.
- Suisun City added 3 new cases today, total of 604 cases.
- Vacaville added 49 new cases today, total of 1,639 cases.
- Vallejo added 54 new cases today, total of 2,773 cases.
- Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 27 cases.
Race / Ethnicity
The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics. This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans. Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.
- Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 10% of cases, 11% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.
- Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 18% of hospitalizations, and 23% of deaths.
- Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 26% of cases, 28% of hospitalizations, and 17% of deaths.
- White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 23% of cases, 25% of hospitalizations and 32% of deaths.
The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis. The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions. For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.