Wednesday, July 15: 94 new cases today, no new deaths. Since the outbreak started: 2,407 cases, 31 deaths.
- Solano County reported 94 new cases today, total of 2,407 cases since the outbreak started. Over the last 7 days, Solano reported 485 new cases, an average of 69 per day.
- No new deaths today, total of 31.
- Hospitalizations – Solano is reporting 1 fewer currently hospitalized persons, total of 46, and an increase of 9 in the total number hospitalized since the outbreak started, 123. (The County no longer reports this number plainly, but you can add the numbers in the Age Group chart.)
- Active cases – Solano reported 64 new ACTIVE cases today, total of 386. The number of Active Cases has been climbing steadily: two weeks ago there were 209 active cases, increasing to a last Friday’s record high of 435. After a drop of almost a third on Monday, it is rising again – 322 yesterday and 386 today. Note that only 46 of these 386 active cases are hospitalized; a lot of infected people are out among us, hopefully quarantined. One wonders… is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?
- ICU beds Available increased by 7% to 39%. Ventilators Available increased by 4% to 90%.
- Testing – 501 residents were tested since yesterday, total of 40,396. But we still have a long way to go: only 9% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.
Percent Positive Test Rate
Solano County’s 7-day percent positive test rate is 7.3, up from 6.7% yesterday, and 5.3% on Monday. The dashboard shows a line graph charting the positive test rate over time (above). Increasingly, health officials and news reports are focusing on percent positive test rates. Most Bay Area counties report daily on their seven-day average percent positive test rate, but Solano County did not until yesterday. This information is immediately important, as test positivity is one of the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus. Positive test rates in California and other southwestern states have been on the rise. Johns Hopkins: California’s positivity rate today is reported at 7.5%.
- Youth 17 and under – 13 new cases today, total of 233 cases, and no new hospitalizations, total only 2 since the outbreak began. Two weeks ago, there were only 126 cases among this age group – we’ve seen over 100 new cases in just 14 days! I continue to raise an alarm for Solano’s youth. Cases among Solano youth have increased in recent weeks to 9.7% of the 2,407 total confirmed cases.
- Persons 18-49 years of age – 58 new cases today, total of 1450 cases. This age group represents over 60% of the 2,407 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups. The County reported 3 new hospitalizations and no new deaths among this age group today, total of 32 hospitalized since the outbreak began, and 2 deaths.
- Persons 50-64 years of age – 15 new cases today, total of 468 cases. This age group represents over 19% of the 2,407 total cases. 1 new hospitalization today, total of 38 hospitalized since the outbreak began. No new deaths, total of 3 deaths.
- Persons 65 years or older – 8 new cases today, total of 255 cases. This age group represents 10.6% of the 2,407 total cases.
5 new hospitalizations, total of 51 hospitalized since the outbreak began. No new deaths, total of 26 deaths. In this older age group, 20% of cases required hospitalization at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups. And this group accounts for 26 of the 31 deaths, or 84%.
Incidence Rate: Cases, Hospitalizations, Deaths
On the Race/Ethnicity chart and the Age Group chart there are “Rate” tabs. Today’s report shows:
- Solano County has 536 positive cases per population of 100,000, up from 515 yesterday and 462 last Friday (Compare this number with the City incidence rates, below.)
- 27 Solano hospitalizations per population of 100,000, up from 25 yesterday.
- 7 Solano deaths per population of 100,000, unchanged since yesterday.
- Benicia added 5 new cases today, total of 50 cases. Benicia was extremely stable with only 2 new cases for the entire month of June. Now Benicia has seen 14 new cases in 14 days. The numbers are small in comparison to other Solano cities, but something’s definitely going on in Benicia!
- Dixon added 5 new cases today, total of 132 cases. Dixon has also moved from stable to increasing over this last week.
- Fairfield added 33 new cases today, total of 831. Fairfield has more positive cases than anywhere in Solano County.
- Rio Vista added 0 new cases today, total of 23 cases.
- Suisun City added 6 new cases today, total of 179 cases.
- Vacaville added 15 new cases today, total of 386 cases.
- Vallejo added 30 new cases today, total of 798.
- Unincorporated areas – Although the County still still shows Unincorporated at <10 (less than 10), a little math tells the story: Solano’s unincorporated areas remained steady at 8 cases, those unaccounted for in the other City totals.
Race / Ethnicity
The County report on race / ethnicity data includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics. There are also tabs showing a calculated rate per 100,000 by race/ethnicity for each of these boxes. This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate worse outcomes among black and brown Americans. As of today:
- White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 23% of cases, 22% of hospitalizations and 21% of deaths.
- Black Americans are 13% of Solano’s population, and account for 13% of cases, but 27% of hospitalizations, and 32% of deaths.
- Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 35% of cases, 30% of hospitalizations, and 25% of deaths.
- Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases and 13% of hospitalizations, but 18% of deaths.
The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis. The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two. Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.