Tuesday, July 14: 94 new cases today, no new deaths.  Since the outbreak started: 2,313 cases, 31 deaths.

Compare previous report, Monday July 13:Summary

• Solano County reported 94 new cases today, total of 2,313 cases since the outbreak started.  Over the last 7 days, Solano reported 487 new cases, an average of 70 per day.
• No new deaths today, total of 31.
• Hospitalizations – Solano is reporting no new currently hospitalized persons, still 47, and no increase in the total number hospitalized since the outbreak started, still 114.
• Active cases – Solano reported 21 new ACTIVE cases today, total of 322.  Until yesterday, the number of Active Cases was climbing steadily: two weeks ago there were 209 active cases, increasing to a last Friday’s record high of 435.  Yesterday the number dropped by almost a third, and now it is rising again.  Note that only 47 of these 322 active cases are hospitalized; a whole lot of infected people are out among us, hopefully quarantined.  One wonders… is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?
• ICU beds Available decreased by 1% to 32%.  Ventilators Available remained steady at 86%.
• Testing – A huge number, 1,001 residents were tested since yesterday, total of 39,895.  But we still have a long way to go: only 9% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

Percent Positive Test Rate

Solano County’s 7-day percent positive test rate is 6.7%, up 1.4% over yesterday’s 5.3%.  The dashboard shows a line graph charting the positive test rate over time (above).  Increasingly, health officials and news reports are focusing on percent positive test rates.  Most Bay Area counties report daily on their seven-day average percent positive test rate, but Solano County did not until yesterday.  This information is immediately important, as test positivity is one of the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus.  Positive test rates in California and other southwestern states have been on the rise.  LA Times: California’s positivity rate today is reported at 7.5%.

By Age Group

• Youth 17 and under – 10 new cases today, total of 220 cases, and no new hospitalizations, total only 2 since the outbreak began.  Two weeks ago, there were only 111 cases among this age group – we’ve seen 109 new cases in just 14 days!  I continue to raise an alarm for Solano’s youth.  Cases among Solano youth have increased in recent weeks to 9.5% of the 2,313 total confirmed cases.
• Persons 18-49 years of age – 55 new cases today, total of 1,392 cases.  This age group represents over 60% of the 2,313 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported no new hospitalizations and no new deaths among this age group today, total of 29 hospitalized since the outbreak began, and 2 deaths.
• Persons 50-64 years of age – 24 new cases today, total of 453 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 2,313 total cases.  No new hospitalizations today, total of 37 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths, total of 3 deaths.
• Persons 65 years or older – 5 new cases today, total of 247 cases.  This age group represents 10.7% of the 2,313 total cases.
  No new hospitalizations, total of 46 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths, total of 26 deaths.  In this older age group, 18.6% of cases required hospitalization at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups.  And this group accounts for 26 of the 31 deaths, or 84%.

Incidence Rate: Cases, Hospitalizations, Deaths

On the Race/Ethnicity chart (and also on the Age Group chart) there are “Rate” tabs.  Today’s report shows:

• • Solano County has 515 positive cases per population of 100,000, up from 494 yesterday and 462 last Friday (Compare this number with the City incidence rates, below.)
  • 25 Solano hospitalizations per population of 100,000, unchanged since yesterday.
  • 7 Solano deaths per population of 100,000, unchanged since yesterday.

City Data

• Benicia added 4 new cases today, total of 45 cases.  Benicia was extremely stable with only 2 new cases for the entire month of June.  Now Benicia has seen 14 new cases in 14 days.  The numbers are small in comparison to other Solano cities, but something’s definitely going on in Benicia!
• Dixon added 5 new cases today, total of 127 cases.  Dixon has also moved from stable to increasing over this last week.
• Fairfield added 33 new cases today, total of 798.  Fairfield has more positive cases than anywhere in Solano County.
• Rio Vista added 1 new case today, total of 23 cases.
• Suisun City added 13 new cases today, total of 173 cases.
• Vacaville added 17 new cases today, total of 371 cases.
• Vallejo added 21 new cases today, total of 768.
• Unincorporated areas – Although the County still still shows Unincorporated at <10 (less than 10), a little math tells the story: Solano’s unincorporated areas remained steady at 8 cases, those unaccounted for in the other City totals.
• A “Rate” column shows the rate of positive COVID-19 cases (per 100,000 population) for each city.  Benicia has the lowest rate, 145 cases per 100,000, and Fairfield the highest at 614 cases per 100,000.  Compare Solano cities’ incidence rates in the chart, and note that the CDC reports today’s rate in California at 832 per 100,000 (climbing fast this past week, and up from 811 yesterday).

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity data includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  There are also tabs showing a calculated rate per 100,000 by race/ethnicity for each of these boxes.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  As of today:

• White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 23% of cases, 22% of hospitalizations and 21% of deaths.
• Black Americans are 13% of Solano’s population, and account for 13% of cases, but 27% of hospitalizations, and 32% of deaths.
• Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 35% of cases, 27% of hospitalizations, and 25% of deaths.
• Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases and 14% of hospitalizations, but 18% of deaths.

Much more…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.