Tag Archives: Hospitalizations

Solano County reports 2 new COVID deaths, likely to enter state’s Red Tier next week


By Roger Straw, Thursday, March 5, 2021

COVID still spreading and dangerous in Solano County – get vaccinated, stay safe! (See Free Vaccine this weekend at Solano Fairgrounds)

Friday, March 5: 43 new Solano cases overnight,
2 new deaths.  Since February 2020: 30,305 cases, over 930 hospitalized, 167 deaths.Compare previous report, Thursday, March 4:Summary

[See Sources.  Daily archive of BenIndy Solano updates: Excel ARCHIVE
    • CASES – Solano County reported 43 new cases overnight, a total of 30,305 cases since the outbreak started.
    • DEATHS – the County reported 2 new deaths today, both over 65 years of age.  A total of 167 Solano residents have died with COVID since the pandemic began.  In January-February, Solano recorded 66 coronavirus deaths, fully 40% of Solano’s COVID deaths to date!  While many other COVID stats are improving, the recent surge in deaths is no doubt the final sad result of our holiday surge and the Super Bowl.
    • ACTIVE cases – Solano reported 4 fewer active cases today, a total of 276 active casesCompare: Solano’s average number of Active Cases last October was 284, average in November was 650, in December 1,658, in January 2,185, then in February down to 481 and TODAY we are at 276.  Much better – but note that’s still a bunch of contagious folks somewhere among us, nearly 300 of them, hopefully quarantined and staying away from grandma and grandpa!
    • HOSPITALIZATIONS Today, Solano reported 2 more currently hospitalized cases, total of 30.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among the age groups, a total of 930 hospitalized in all age groups since the pandemic began.  [For the numbers used in my manual calculation of total hospitalizations, see age group stats below.
    • ICU BEDS – In late January, Solano hospitals expanded their ICU capacity.  Even with the expanded ICU capacity, Solano County has continued to fall in and out of the YELLOW DANGER ZONE.  Back in the YELLOW DANGER ZONE today, the County reported 28% of ICU beds available today down from 38% yesterday. California’s COVID19-CA.GOV reports that Solano County had 16 available ICU beds yesterday, March 4(For COVID19-CA.GOV info see BenIndy page, COVID-19 Hospitalizations Daily Update for Solano County, and for REGIONAL data see COVID-19 ICU Bed Availability by REGION.)
    • VENTILATORS available – Today Solano hospitals have 72% of ventilators available, up from 65% yesterday, but still substantially lower than last summer’s reports of 82-94% available.
Positive Test Rate and our Purple/Red Tier rating

Solano County is reporting that our positive test rate today is 6.2%, up slightly from yesterday’s 6.1%.  Our 14-day average positive test rate is 6.6% according to my own calculation. The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate was at 2.1% today, same as yesterday.
>> Tier Rating:  Reports suggest that Solano may move down into the red tier as soon as next week.  Before dropping to a lower tier, the State requires a county to  maintain a positive test rate at or below 8% AND an ADJUSTED case rate at or below 10 new cases per day per 100,000 residents for two consecutive weeks.  Solano’s 14-day average positive test rate meets that standard, at 6.6% by my calculation (and maybe even lower by some formula used by the state), and our adjusted case rate is also within the red tier range, at 7.7 per day over the last two weeks according to COVID.CA.GOV.  News this week is that the state will lower the adjusted case rate standard to 7% soon, which would certainly clinch Solano’s movement to the red tier.

By Age Group
  • Youth 17 and under – 7 new cases overnight, total of 3,538 cases, representing 11.7% of the 30,305 total cases.  No new hospitalizations were reported today among this very young age group, total of 19 since the outbreak began.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has remained at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact at least 19 of our youth have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 27 new cases overnight, total of 16,734 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents 55.2% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today.  A total of 258 are reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  Solano recorded no new deaths in this young group today, total of 10 deaths.  Some in this group are surely at high risk, as many are providing essential services among us, and some may be ignoring public health orders.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 7 new cases overnight, total of 6,328 cases.  This age group represents 20.9% of the 30,305 total cases.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today, a total of 249 reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths reported in this age group today, a total of 27 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 2 new cases overnight, total of 3,694, representing 12.2% of Solano’s 30,305 total cases.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today, a total of 404 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  2 new deaths were  reported in this age group today.  A total of 130 of our elders have died of COVID, accounting for 78% of Solano’s 167 total deaths.
City Data
  • Benicia added 1 new case overnight, total of 857 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon remained steady today, total of 1,768 cases.
  • Fairfield added 16 new cases overnight, total of 8,245 cases.
  • Rio Vista remained steady today, total of 332 cases.
  • Suisun City added 1 new case overnight, total of 2,054 cases.
  • Vacaville added 9 new cases overnight, total of 7,954 cases.
  • Vallejo added 15 new cases overnight, total of 9,003 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas added 1 new case overnight, total of 92 cases.
Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.
>> Note a MAJOR CHANGE in the County’s reporting on race / ethnicity this week.  Prior this week, we were sure that the County data undercounts Latinx Americans, as there was a much larger group of “Multirace / Others” which likely was composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.  On Monday, the County’s Latinx numbers were virtually reversed with those of Multirace / Other, and the re-sorting by race and ethnicity continued until today.  (The new data is most likely a revision based on a new reading of the old data.)  Note that the remaining members of the Multirace/Other group are still undoubtedly primarily Latinx.  So this week’s jump in Latinx numbers are STILL likely undercounting the harsh effects of COVID among our Latinx community.  Worst case, if you were to assume ALL of the Multirace/Others are Latinx and add the stats for the two groups, you would see that this combined 33% of Solano’s population accounts for 45% of cases, 38% of hospitalizations and only 25% of deaths.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 14% of cases, 15% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 17% of hospitalizations, and 20% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 32% of cases, 30% of hospitalizations, and 18% of deaths.
  • Multi-race / Others are 7% of Solano’s population, but account for 13% of cases(unchanged), 8% of hospitalizations, and 7% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 29% of cases, 30% of hospitalizations, and 36% of deaths.

More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Source
Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard (posted on the County website late today).  ALSO see important daily updates from the state of California at COVID19.CA.GOV, embedded here on the BenIndy at Cases and Deaths AND Hospitalizations AND ICU Beds by REGION.

Solano County COVID case rate still firmly in purple tier – 46 new cases overnight


By Roger Straw, Thursday, March 4, 2021
[Editor: for a more complete look at Solano’s likely move to the Red Tier, see Answers – and Questions – about California’s easing of COVID restrictions.  – R.S.]

COVID still spreading and dangerous in Solano County – get vaccinated, stay safe! (See Free Vaccine this weekend at Solano Fairgrounds)

Thursday, March 4: 46 new Solano cases overnight, no new deaths.  Since February 2020: 30,262 cases, over 930 hospitalized, 165 deaths.Compare previous report, Wednesday, March 3:Summary

[See Sources.  Daily archive of BenIndy Solano updates: Excel ARCHIVE
    • CASES – Solano County reported 46 new cases overnight, a total of 30,262 cases since the outbreak started.
    • DEATHS – the County reported no new deaths today.  A total of 165 Solano residents have died with COVID since the pandemic began.  In January-February, Solano recorded 66 coronavirus deaths, fully 40% of Solano’s COVID deaths to date!  While many other COVID stats are improving, the recent surge in deaths is no doubt the final sad result of our holiday and Super Bowl surge.
    • ACTIVE cases – Solano reported 23 more active cases today, a total of 280 active casesCompare: Solano’s average number of Active Cases last October was 284, average in November was 650, in December 1,658, in January 2,185, then in February down to 481 and TODAY we are at 280.  Much better – but note that’s still a bunch of contagious folks somewhere among us, hopefully quarantined and hopefully staying away from grandma and grandpa!
    • HOSPITALIZATIONS Today, Solano reported 9 fewer  currently hospitalized cases, total of 28.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among the age groups, a total of 930 hospitalized in all age groups since the pandemic began.  [For the numbers used in my manual calculation of total hospitalizations, see age group stats below.
    • ICU BEDS – In late January, Solano hospitals expanded their ICU capacity [see BenIndy, Jan. 25]  Even with the expanded ICU capacity, Solano County has fallen in and out of the YELLOW DANGER ZONE.  Back in the green zone today, the County reported 38% available today up from 30% yesterday. California’s COVID19-CA.GOV reports that Solano County had 17 available ICU beds yesterday, March 3(For COVID19-CA.GOV info see BenIndy page, COVID-19 Hospitalizations Daily Update for Solano County, and for REGIONAL data see COVID-19 ICU Bed Availability by REGION.)
    • VENTILATORS available – Today Solano hospitals have 65% of ventilators available, down from 69% yesterday, and still substantially lower than last summer’s reports of 82-94% available.
Positive Test Rate and our Purple Tier rating

Solano County is reporting that our positive test rate today is 6.1%, up slightly from yesterday’s 6.0%.  Solano has come in under the State’s purple/red tier threshold of 8% lately.  Even so, DON’T EXPECT A QUICK MOVE DOWN TO THE RED TIER.  Before dropping to a lower tier, the State requires a county to  maintain a positive test rate at or below 8% AND a case rate at or below 31 new cases per day for two consecutive weeks.  Solano’s positive rate meets that standard, at 7.2% as of today, but our new case rate, by my calculation, was at 40.9 per day over the last two weeks.  (Caution: I’ve learned that the County often uses different methods of calculating, so my numbers may not match Dr. Matyas’ numbers.  But these numbers do reflect the County’s daily COVID Dashboard updates.)  The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate was at 2.1% today, down from 2.2% yesterday.

By Age Group
  • Youth 17 and under – 7 new cases overnight, total of 3,531 cases, representing 11.7% of the 30,262 total cases.  No new hospitalizations were reported today among this very young age group, total of 19 since the outbreak began.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has remained at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact at least 19 of our youth have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 28 new cases overnight, total of 16,707 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents 55.2% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today.  A total of 258 are reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  Solano recorded no new deaths in this young group today, total of 10 deaths.  Some in this group are surely at high risk, as many are providing essential services among us, and some may be ignoring public health orders.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 8 new cases overnight, total of 6,321 cases.  This age group represents 20.9% of the 30,262 total cases.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today, a total of 249 reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths reported in this age group today, a total of 27 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 3 new cases overnight, total of 3,692, representing 12.2% of Solano’s 30,262 total cases.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today, a total of 404 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths were  reported in this age group today.  A total of 128 of our elders have died of COVID, accounting for 78% of Solano’s 165 total deaths.
City Data
  • Benicia added 1 new case today, total of 856 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 4 new cases overnight, total of 1,768 cases.
  • Fairfield added 11 new cases overnight, total of 8,229 cases.
  • Rio Vista added 1 new case overnight, total of 332 cases.
  • Suisun City added 6 new cases overnight, total of 2,053 cases.
  • Vacaville added 11 new cases overnight, total of 7,945 cases.
  • Vallejo added 12 new cases overnight, total of 8,988 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 91 cases.
Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note a MAJOR CHANGE in the County’s reporting on race / ethnicity this week.  Prior this week, we were sure that the County data undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a much larger group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.  Monday’s Latinx numbers were virtually reversed with those of Multirace / Other, and the re-sorting by race and ethnicity continued until today.  (The new data is not likely an error.  It is most likely a revision based on a new reading of the old data.)  Note that the remaining members of the Multirace/Other group are still undoubtedly primarily Latinx.  This week’s jump in Latinx numbers are STILL likely undercounting the harsh effects of COVID among our Latinx community.  Worst case, if you were to assume ALL of the Multirace/Others are Latinx and add the stats for the two groups, you would see that this combined 33% of Solano’s population accounts for 45% of cases, 38% of hospitalizations but only 25% of deaths.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 14% of cases (unchanged), 15% of hospitalizations (unchanged), and 19% of deaths (unchanged).
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases (unchanged), but 17% of hospitalizations (unchanged), and 20% of deaths (unchanged).
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 32% of cases (unchanged), 30% of hospitalizations (unchanged), and 18% of deaths (unchanged).
  • Multi-race / Others are 7% of Solano’s population, but account for 13% of cases(unchanged), 8% of hospitalizations (unchanged), and 7% of deaths (unchanged).
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 29% of cases (unchanged), 30% of hospitalizations (unchanged), and 36% of deaths (unchanged).

More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Source
Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard (posted on the County website late today).  ALSO see important daily updates from the state of California at COVID19.CA.GOV, embedded here on the BenIndy at Cases and Deaths AND Hospitalizations AND ICU Beds by REGION.

Solano County reports 37 previously unreported COVID hospitalizations, including 1 under 18 years old


By Roger Straw, Wednesday, March 3, 2021

County playing catch-up on hospitalizations, and continuing to re-sort by race / ethnicity.  COVID still spreading and dangerous in Solano County – stay safe!

Wednesday, March 3: 53 new Solano cases overnight, 37 (!) new hospitalizations, and 1 new death.  Since February 2020: 30,216 cases, over 930 hospitalized, 165 deaths.Compare previous report, Tuesday, March 2:Summary

[See Sources.  Daily archive of BenIndy Solano updates: Excel ARCHIVE
    • CASES – Solano County reported 53 new cases overnight, a total of 30,216 cases since the outbreak started.
    • DEATHS – the County reported 1 new death today, someone aged 50-64.  A total of 165 Solano residents have died with COVID since the pandemic began.  In January-February, Solano recorded 66 coronavirus deaths, fully 40% of Solano’s COVID deaths to date!  While many other COVID stats are improving, the recent surge in deaths is no doubt the final sad result of our holiday and Super Bowl surge.
    • ACTIVE cases – Solano reported 19 fewer active cases today, a total of 257 active casesCompare: Solano’s average number of Active Cases last October was 284, average in November was 650, in December 1,658, in January 2,185, then in February down to 481 and TODAY we are at 257.  Much better – but note that’s still a bunch of contagious folks somewhere among us, hopefully quarantined and hopefully staying away from grandma and grandpa!
    • HOSPITALIZATIONS Today, Solano reported 2 new  currently hospitalized cases, total of 37.  In addition, the County executed its occasional “catch-up” of hospitalizations previously unreported, adding 37 (!) new hospitalizations among the age groups, now totaling 930 hospitalized in all age groups since the pandemic began.  Today’s report added 1 person aged 0-17, 12 persons aged 18-49, 9 persons aged 50-64, and 15 of us over 65.  [For the numbers used in my manual calculation of total hospitalizations, see age group stats below.
    • ICU BEDS – In late January, Solano hospitals expanded their ICU capacity [see BenIndy, Jan. 25]  Even with the expanded ICU capacity, Solano County has fallen in and out of the YELLOW DANGER ZONE, and reported 30% available today same as yesterday. California’s COVID19-CA.GOV reports that Solano County had 17 available ICU beds yesterday, March 2(For COVID19-CA.GOV info see BenIndy page, COVID-19 Hospitalizations Daily Update for Solano County, and for REGIONAL data see COVID-19 ICU Bed Availability by REGION.)
    • VENTILATORS available – Today Solano hospitals have 69% of ventilators available, up from 64% yesterday, but still substantially lower than last summer’s reports of 82-94% available.
Positive Test Rate and our Purple Tier rating

Solano County reported on Tuesday of last week that our 7-day average positive test rate dropped dramatically from 12.4% to 5.9% in just one day.  Today the County reported the rate at 6.0%, up a bit overnight, from 5.8%.  It seems totally unlikely for a 7-day average to drop so precipitously overnight.  Currently, Solano has come in under the State’s purple/red tier threshold of 8%.  Even so, DON’T EXPECT A QUICK MOVE DOWN TO THE RED TIER.  Before dropping to a lower tier, the State requires a county to  maintain a positive test rate at or below 8% measures AND a case rate at or below 31 new cases per day for two consecutive weeks.  Solano’s new case rate, by my calculation, was at 41.6 per day over the last week, and 40.9 per day over the last two weeks.  (Caution: I’ve learned that the County often uses different methods of calculating, so my numbers may not match Dr. Matyas’ numbers.  But these numbers do reflect the County’s daily COVID Dashboard updates.)  The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate was at 2.2% today, down from 2.3% yesterday.

By Age Group
  • Youth 17 and under – 5 new cases overnight, total of 3,524 cases, representing 11.7% of the 30,216 total cases1 new hospitalization was reported today among this very young age group, total of 19 since the outbreak began.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has remained at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact at least 19 of our youth have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 30 new cases overnight, total of 16,679 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents 55.2% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported 12 new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today.  A total of 258 are reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  Solano recorded no new deaths in this young group today, total of 10 deaths.  Some in this group are surely at high risk, as many are providing essential services among us, and some may be ignoring public health orders.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 15 new cases overnight, total of 6,313 cases.  This age group represents 20.9% of the 30,216 total cases.  The County reported 9 new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today, a total of 249 reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  1 new death was reported in this age group today, a total of 27 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – only 3 new cases overnight, total of 3,689, representing 12.2% of Solano’s 30,216 total cases.  The County reported 15 new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today, a total of 404 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths were  reported in this age group today.  A total of 128 of our elders have died of COVID, accounting for 78% of Solano’s 165 total deaths.
City Data
  • Benicia remained steady for the 2nd day in a row today, total of 855 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 2 new cases overnight, total of 1,764 cases.
  • Fairfield added 14 new cases overnight, total of 8,218 cases.
  • Rio Vista added 1 new case overnight, total of 331 cases.
  • Suisun City added 5 new cases overnight, total of 2,047 cases.
  • Vacaville added 9 new cases overnight, total of 7,934 cases.
  • Vallejo added 20 new cases overnight, total of 8,976 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas added 2 new cases today, total of 91 cases.
Race / Ethnicity – County’s re-sorting by race/ethnicity continues…

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note a MAJOR CHANGE in the County’s reporting on race / ethnicity this week.  Prior this week, we were sure that the County data undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a much larger group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.  Monday’s Latinx numbers were virtually reversed with those of Multirace / Other, and the re-sorting by race and ethnicity continues today.  (Appearing 3 times now in succession, the new data is not likely an error.  It is most likely a revision based on a new reading of the old data.)  Note that the remaining members of the Multirace/Other group are still undoubtedly primarily Latinx.  This week’s jump in Latinx numbers are STILL likely undercounting the harsh effects of COVID among our Latinx community.  Worst case, if you were to assume ALL of the Multirace/Others are Latinx and add the stats for the two groups, you would see that this combined 33% of Solano’s population accounts for 45% of cases, 38% of hospitalizations but only 25% of deaths.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 14% of cases (up from 12%), 15% of hospitalizations (up from 13%), and 19% of deaths (up from 18%).
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases (up from 11%), but 17% of hospitalizations (no change), and 20% of deaths (up from 19%).
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 32% of cases (up from 30%), 30% of hospitalizations (up from 28%), and 18% of deaths (up from 17%).
  • Multi-race / Others are 7% of Solano’s population, but account for 13% of cases (down from 18%), 8% of hospitalizations (down from 11%), and 7% of deaths (down from 11%).
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 29% of cases (up from 28%), 30% of hospitalizations (no change), and 36% of deaths (up from 34%).

More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Source
Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard (posted on the County website late today).  ALSO see important daily updates from the state of California at COVID19.CA.GOV, embedded here on the BenIndy at Cases and Deaths AND Hospitalizations AND ICU Beds by REGION.

Solano reports 48 new COVID cases overnight, large increase in ‘Active Cases’


By Roger Straw, Tuesday, March 2, 2021

COVID spread has slowed some, but it’s still spreading and dangerous in Solano County – stay safe!

(Solano race/ethnicity data: see major update below.)

Tuesday, March 2: 48 new Solano cases overnight, no new deaths.  Since February 2020: 30,163 cases, over 890 hospitalized, 164 deaths.Compare previous report, Monday, March 1:Summary

[See Sources.  Daily archive of BenIndy Solano updates: Excel ARCHIVE
    • CASES – Solano County reported 48 new cases overnight, a total of 30,163 cases since the outbreak started.
    • DEATHS – the County reported no new deaths today .  A total of 164 Solano residents have died with COVID since the pandemic began.  42 COVID deaths were reported in Solano County during the month of February.  In January, Solano recorded a total of 24 coronavirus deaths.  40% of Solano’s 164 COVID deaths occurred in January-February!  While many other COVID stats are improving, the recent surge in deaths is no doubt the final sad result of our holiday and Super Bowl surge.
    • ACTIVE cases – Solano reported 130 more active cases today, a new total of 276 active casesCompare: Solano’s average number of Active Cases last October was 284, average in November was 650, in December 1,658, in January 2,185 – and February’s average was down to 481, and TODAY we are at 276.  Much better – but note that’s still a bunch of contagious folks somewhere among us, hopefully quarantined and hopefully staying away from grandma and grandpa!
    • HOSPITALIZATIONS – (See expanding ICU capacity and ventilator availability below.)  Today, Solano reported no change in the number of currently hospitalized cases, total of 35.  Among the age groups, the County reported 1 new hospitalization today, a senior over 65, and a total of 893 hospitalized in all age groups since the pandemic began.  Accuracy of the County’s hospitalization numbers cannot be certain.  [For the numbers used in my manual calculation of total hospitalizations, see age group stats belowFor COVID19-CA.GOV numbers, see BenIndy page, COVID-19 Hospitalizations Daily Update for Solano County.]
    • ICU BEDS – In late January, Solano hospitals expanded their ICU capacity [see BenIndy, Jan. 25]  Even with the expanded ICU capacity, Solano County has fallen in and out of the YELLOW DANGER ZONE, and came in at 30% available today up from 29% yesterday. California’s COVID19-CA.GOV reports that Solano County had only 13 available ICU beds yesterday, March 1(For COVID19-CA.GOV info see BenIndy page, COVID-19 Hospitalizations Daily Update for Solano County, and for REGIONAL data see COVID-19 ICU Bed Availability by REGION.)
    • VENTILATORS available – Today Solano hospitals have 64% of ventilators available, same as yesterday, and down substantially from last summer’s reports of 82-94% available.
Positive Test Rate

Solano County reported on Tuesday of last week that our 7-day average positive test rate dropped dramatically to 5.9% from 12.4% the day before.  Today the County reported the rate at 5.8%, up a bit overnight, from 5.6%.  It seems totally unlikely for a 7-day average to drop so precipitously overnight.  I’m working on how to report on Dr. Matyas’ complicated explanation – stay tuned.  Currently, Solano has come in under the State’s purple/red tier threshold of 8%.  Even so, DON’T EXPECT A QUICK MOVE DOWN TO THE RED TIER: before dropping to a lower tier, the State requires a county to  maintain a positive test rate at or below 8% measures AND a case rate at or below 31 new cases per day for two consecutive weeksThe much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate was at 2.3% today, same as yesterday.

By Age Group
  • Youth 17 and under – 6 new cases overnight, total of 3,519 cases, representing 11.7% of the 30,163 total cases.  No new hospitalizations were reported today among this age group, total of 18 since the outbreak began.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has remained at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact at least 18 of our youth have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 27 new cases overnight, total of 16,649 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents 55.2% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today.  A total of 246 are reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  Solano recorded no new deaths in this young group today, total of 10 deaths.  Some in this group are surely at high risk, as many are providing essential services among us, and some may be ignoring public health orders.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 13 new cases overnight, total of 6,298 cases.  This age group represents 20.9% of the 30,163 total cases.  The County reported no new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today, a total of 240 reported to have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths were reported in this age group today, a total of 26 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – only 2 new cases overnight, total of 3,686, representing 12.2% of Solano’s 30,163 total cases.  The County reported 1 new hospitalization among persons in this age group today, a total of 389 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths were  reported in this age group today.  A total of 128 of our elders have died of COVID, accounting for 78% of Solano’s 164 total deaths.
City Data
  • Benicia remained steady today, total of 855 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 4 new cases overnight, total of 1,762 cases.
  • Fairfield added 13 new cases overnight, total of 8,204 cases.
  • Rio Vista added 3 new cases overnight, total of 330 cases.
  • Suisun City added 5 new cases overnight, total of 2,042 cases.
  • Vacaville added only 8 new cases overnight, total of 7,925 cases.
  • Vallejo added 15 new cases overnight, total of 8,956 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 89 cases.
Race / Ethnicity – MAJOR UPDATE

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note a MAJOR CHANGE in YESTERDAY’s reporting on race / ethnicity.  Prior to yesterday, we were sure that the County data undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a much larger group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.  Yesterday’s Latinx numbers were virtually reversed with those of Multirace / Other, AND REMAIN SO TODAY – see below.  (Appearing twice now in succession, the new data is not likely an error.  It is most likely a revision based on a new reading of the old data.)  Note that the remaining members of the Multirace/Other group are still undoubtedly primarily Latinx.  Today’s jump in Latinx numbers are STILL likely undercounting the harsh effects of COVID among our Latinx community.  Worst case, if you were to assume ALL of the Multirace/Others are Latinx and add the stats for the two groups, you would see that this combined 33% of Solano’s population accounts for 48% of cases, 39% of hospitalizations and 38% of deaths.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, 13% of hospitalizations, and 18% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 11% of cases, but 17% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.  (No change.)
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 30% of cases (previously 16%), 28% of hospitalizations (previously 21%), and 17% of deaths (previously 12%).
  • Multi-race / Others are 7% of Solano’s population, but account for 18% of cases (previously 33%), 11% of hospitalizations (previously 11%), and 11% of deaths (previously 11%).
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 28% of cases, 30% of hospitalizations, and 34% of deaths.

More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Source
Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard (posted on the County website late today).  ALSO see important daily updates from the state of California at COVID19.CA.GOV, embedded here on the BenIndy at Cases and Deaths AND Hospitalizations AND ICU Beds by REGION.