Solano County COVID update: 3 dead, alarming increase in cases and test rate


[Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE.]

Friday, November 6: 136 (!) new cases overnight, 3 new deaths, 2 new hospitalizations.  Since the outbreak began: 8,132 cases, 535 hospitalized, 79 deaths.Compare previous report, Thursday, Nov. 5:Summary

  • Solano County reported 136 new cases overnight, the largest one-day increase ever.  Total of 8,132 cases since the outbreak started.
  • Deaths – 3 new deaths reported today, all 65 years or over.  Total of 79 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
  • Active cases – Solano reported an increase of 47 additional active cases today, total of 547.  This is in addition to 107 new active cases in the two previous days, 154 in 3 daysNote that only 24 of these 547 individuals are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined.  Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who knows?  To my knowledge, Solano County has offered no reports on contact tracing.
  • Hospitalizations – Solano County reported the number of currently hospitalized persons increased by 3 overnight, total of 24.  TOTAL hospitalized since the outbreak began increased dramatically last week, adding 106 previously unreported hospitalizations!  Today the TOTAL numbers increased by 2, total of 535 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  For manual calculation of total, see age group stats below.
  • ICU Beds – The County reported fewer ICU beds available today, down from 57% to 52%.  (Still no information about availability of ventilators.)

Positive Test Rate – alarming 8.1%

Solano County reported that our 7-day average test rate rose today to a rate unseen since the outbreak following July 4.  Our rate rose from 7.2% to an alarming 8.1% today.  Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus.  The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate has been on the rise lately, increasing today from 3.4% to 3.6%(Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  The 7-day curve also lags behind current unknown results.) 

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 17 new cases overnight, total of 930 cases, representing 11.4% of the 8,132 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued just over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact 14 youth have now been hospitalized.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 66 (!) new cases overnight, total of 4,767 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 178.  No new deaths in this young group today, total of 6 deaths.  Some in this group are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 28 new cases overnight, total of 1,576 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 8,132 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 151.  No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 25 (!) new cases today, total of 855, representing 10.4% of Solano’s 8,132 total cases2 new hospitalizations reported today, total of 192 since the outbreak began.  3 new deaths in this age group today, total of 58 of our elders who died of COVID.  This group accounts for 58 of the 79 total deaths, or 73%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 3 new cases today, total of 210 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 8 new cases today, total of 539 cases.
  • Fairfield added 39 new cases today, total of 2,574 cases.
  • Rio Vista remained steady today, total of 63 cases.
  • Suisun City added 7 new cases today, total of 586 cases.
  • Vacaville added 30 new cases today, total of 1,516 cases.
  • Vallejo added 48 (!) new cases today, total of 2,617 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 27 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases, 11% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 18% of hospitalizations, and 23% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 27% of cases, 29% of hospitalizations, and 17% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 23% of cases, 25% of hospitalizations and 32% of deaths.

More…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.