Category Archives: Covid 19

Solano County COVID alert – 396 new cases, another death, test rate at all-time high

[Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE.]

All numbers skyrocketing.  County fails to update on Current Hospitalizations and ICU Beds Available

Monday, November 23: 396 new cases over the weekend, 1 death.  Since the outbreak began: 9,745 cases, over 550 hospitalized, 81 deaths.Compare previous report, Friday, Nov. 20:Summary

  • Solano County reported 396 new cases over the weekend, with nearly all other numbers skyrocketing.  As of today, Solano has seen an average of 115 new cases per day over the last 14 days!  Total of 9,745 cases since the outbreak started.
  • Deaths – 1 new death reported today, one of our elders, aged 65 or over, a total of 80 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
  • Active cases – Solano reported 60 more active cases today, total of 778Active cases have increased alarmingly lately – COMPARE: average number of Active Cases during October was 284 – today we are at 778!  Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who knows?  To my knowledge, Solano County has offered no reports on contact tracing.
  • Hospitalizations – CAUTION: According to a November 7 email from Solano Health Officer Dr. Bela Matyas, the County occasionally updates Age Group hospitalizations retroactively.  This accounts for the sudden 106 additions on October 29, a one-day increase of 25% in total hospitalizations.  Those 106 had never been recorded as CURRENTLY hospitalized.  My take on this is that the County’s daily updates on hospitalizations are nearly meaningless. Today it seems the County may agree: they didn’t report on hospitalizations at all.  Maybe they’re working on their occasional big catchup?  Stay tuned for tomorrow’s report.   Last we knew, the number of CURRENTLY hospitalized persons was 51.  TOTAL hospitalized since the outbreak began was 549 as of last Friday.  [For manual calculation of total, see age group stats below.]
  • ICU BedsThe County failed to report on availability of ICU beds today.  The percentage has fluctuated widely over the last week or so, ranging from 21% to last Friday’s 52%.  (Continuing – no information about availability of ventilators.)

Positive Test Rate – highest ever, 12.2%

Solano County reported an all-time high for our 7-day average positive test rate today, rising from Friday’s 10.8% to 12.2% (!) – well over the State’s purple tier threshold of 8%Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring community spread of the virus.  The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate has also been on the rise lately, and fell slightly today from 5.9% to 5.8%(Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  The 7-day curve therefore also lags behind due to unknown recent test results.) 

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 43 (!) new cases over the weekend, total of 1,128 cases, representing 11.6% of the 9,745 total cases.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact at least 14 of our youth have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 237 (!) new cases over the weekend, total of 5,682 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups. At least 182 persons in this age group have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this young group today, total of 6 deaths.  Some in this group are surely at high risk, as many are providing essential services among us, and some may be ignoring public health orders.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 84 (!) new cases over the weekend, total of 1,890 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 9,745 total cases.  At least 152 persons in this age group have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 32 new cases today, total of 1040, representing 10.8% of Solano’s 9,745total cases.  At least 202 persons in this age group have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  1 new death in this age group today, total of 60 of our elders who died of COVID.  This group accounts for 60 of the 81 total deaths, or 74%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 16 new cases over the weekend, total of 267 cases since the outbreak began. 
  • Dixon added 39 (!) new cases over the weekend, total of 643 cases.
  • Fairfield added 98 (!) new cases over the weekend, total of 3.001 cases.
  • Rio Vista added 2 new cases over the weekend, total of 77 cases.
  • Suisun City added 33 (!!) new cases over the weekend, total of 671 cases.
  • Vacaville added 120 (!) new cases over the weekend, total of 1,958 cases.
  • Vallejo added 85 new cases over the weekend, total of 3,093 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas added 3 new cases over the weekend, total of 35 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 10% of cases, 11% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 17% of hospitalizations, and 23% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 24% of cases, 28% of hospitalizations, and 18% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 25% of cases, 26% of hospitalizations and 33% of deaths.

More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Purple Solano County averaging nearly 100 new COVID cases per day, test rate again nearing 11%


[Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE.]

Friday, November 20: 58 new cases overnight, no new deaths.  Since the outbreak began: 9,349 cases, 549 hospitalized, 80 deaths.Compare previous report, Thursday, Nov. 19:Summary

  • Solano County reported 58 new cases overnight, continuing the spike since last week’s huge increase of over 700 cases.  As of today, Solano has seen an average of 97 new cases per day over the last 14 days!  Total of 9,349 cases since the outbreak started.
  • Deaths – no new deaths reported today, a total of 80 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
  • Active cases – Solano reported 68 fewer active cases today, total of 718Active cases have increased alarmingly lately – COMPARE: average number of Active Cases during October was 284 – today we are at 718!  Note that only 51 of these 718 individuals are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined.  Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who knows?  To my knowledge, Solano County has offered no reports on contact tracing.
  • Hospitalizations – CAUTION: According to a November 7 email from Solano Health Officer Dr. Bela Matyas, the County occasionally updates Age Group hospitalizations retroactively.  This accounts for the sudden 106 additions on October 29, a one-day increase of 25% in total hospitalizations.  Those 106 had never been recorded as CURRENTLY hospitalized.  My take on this is that the County’s daily updates on hospitalizations are nearly meaningless. Nonetheless…Solano County reported the number of CURRENTLY hospitalized persons reportedly decreased by 3 today, total of 51.  TOTAL hospitalized since the outbreak began supposedly remained unchanged today, a total of 549 of all ages hospitalized since the outbreak began.  The County will likely change these figures at a later date.  [For manual calculation of total, see age group stats below.]
  • ICU Beds – The County reported an increase in ICU beds available today, rising from 44% to 52%, no longer in the yellow danger zone.  (No information about availability of ventilators.)

Positive Test Rate – extremely high, 10.8%

Solano County reported that our 7-day average positive test rate rose today from 9.9% to 10.8%, well over the State’s purple tier threshold of 8%Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring community spread of the virus.  The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate has also been on the rise lately, and rose today from 5.6% to 5.9%(Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  The 7-day curve therefore also lags behind due to unknown recent test results.) 

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 7 new cases overnight, total of 1,085 cases, representing 11.6% of the 9,349 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact 14 youth have now been hospitalized.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 30 new cases overnight, total of 5,415 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups. No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 181.  No new deaths in this young group today, total of 6 deaths.  Some in this group are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 11 new cases overnight, total of 1,806 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 9,349 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 152.  No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 10 new cases today, total of 1008, representing an increase to 10.8% of Solano’s 9,349 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 202 since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this age group today, total of 59 of our elders who died of COVID.  This group accounts for 59 of the 80 total deaths, or 74%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 6 new cases overnight, total of 251 cases since the outbreak began. 
  • Dixon added 6 new cases overnight, total of 604 cases.
  • Fairfield added 14 new cases overnight, total of 2,903 cases.
  • Rio Vista remained steady today, total of 75 cases.
  • Suisun City remained steady today, total of 638 cases.
  • Vacaville added 14 new cases overnight, total of 1,838 cases.
  • Vallejo added 18 new cases overnight, total of 3,008 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 32 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 10% of cases, 11% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 17% of hospitalizations, and 23% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 25% of cases, 28% of hospitalizations, and 16% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 24% of cases, 26% of hospitalizations and 33% of deaths.

More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Solano COVID spike continues, 130 new cases on Thursday, 39 age 65+, Vallejo surge of 60


[Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE.]

Thursday, November 19: 130 new cases overnight, no new deaths.  Since the outbreak began: 9,291 cases, 549 hospitalized, 80 deaths.Compare previous report, Wednesday, Nov. 18:Summary

  • Solano County reported 130 (!) new cases overnight, continuing the spike since last week’s huge increase of over 700 cases.  As of today, Solano has seen an average of 96 new cases per day over the last 14 days!  Total of 9,291 cases since the outbreak started.
  • Deaths – no new deaths reported today, a total of 80 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
  • Active cases – Solano reported 99 (!) additional active cases today, total of 786 (our highest number of active cases since the outbreak began)Active cases have increased alarmingly lately – COMPARE: average number of Active Cases during October was 284 – now we are at 786!  Note that only 54 of these 687 individuals are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined.  Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who knows?  To my knowledge, Solano County has offered no reports on contact tracing.
  • Hospitalizations – CAUTION: According to a November 7 email from Solano Health Officer Dr. Bela Matyas, the County occasionally updates Age Group hospitalizations retroactively.  This accounts for the sudden 106 additions on October 29, a one-day increase of 25% in total hospitalizations.  Those 106 had never been recorded as CURRENTLY hospitalized.  My take on this is that the County’s daily updates on hospitalizations are nearly meaningless. Nonetheless…Solano County reported the number of CURRENTLY hospitalized persons reportedly decreased by 1 today, total of 54.  TOTAL hospitalized since the outbreak began supposedly remained unchanged today, a total of 549 of all ages hospitalized since the outbreak began.  The County will likely change these figures at a later date.  [For manual calculation of total, see age group stats below.]
  • ICU Beds – The County reported an large increase in ICU beds available today, rising from 29% to 44% and no longer in the yellow danger zone.  (No information about availability of ventilators.)

Positive Test Rate – extremely high, 9.9%

Solano County reported that our 7-day average positive test rate fell slightly today from 10.0% to 9.9%, still well over the State’s purple tier threshold of 8%Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring community spread of the virus.  The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate has also been on the rise lately, but rose today from 5.3% to 5.6%(Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  The 7-day curve therefore also lags behind due to unknown recent test results.) 

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 8 new cases overnight, total of 1,078 cases, representing 11.6% of the 9,291 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact 14 youth have now been hospitalized.50
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 61 new cases overnight, total of 5,415 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups. No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 181.  No new deaths in this young group today, total of 6 deaths.  Some in this group are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 22 new cases overnight, total of 1,795 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 9,291 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 152.  No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 39 (!) new cases today, total of 998, representing an increase to 10.7% of Solano’s 9,291 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today, total of 202 since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this age group today, total of 59 of our elders who died of COVID.  This group accounts for 59 of the 80 total deaths, or 74%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 2 new cases overnight, total of 245 cases since the outbreak began.  (Valued reader Mike Guerin alerted me to a method of calculating ACTIVE CASES by City, never reported by the County.  Assuming a 14-day quarantine period, just add new cases over the last 14 days… Benicia has a total of 38 Active Cases today.) 
  • Dixon added 9 new cases overnight, total of 598 cases.
  • Fairfield added 27 new cases overnight, total of 2,889 cases.
  • Rio Vista remained steady today, total of 75 cases.
  • Suisun City added 5 cases today, total of 638 cases.
  • Vacaville added 26 new cases overnight, total of 1,824 cases.
  • Vallejo added 60 (!) new cases overnight, total of 2,990 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas added 1 new case today, total of 32 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 10% of cases, 11% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 17% of hospitalizations, and 23% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 25% of cases, 28% of hospitalizations, and 16% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 24% of cases, 26% of hospitalizations and 33% of deaths.

More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Charts show how Bay Area’s current coronavirus surge is already worse than the last one

San Francisco Chronicle, Kellie Hwang and Mike Massa Nov. 19, 2020
[Editor – Solano County not mentioned in text, but the final chart in the story shows Solano’s recent surge.  – R.S.]

In the summer, coronavirus cases were surging across the Bay Area. Now, they’re surging again. But will this round prove worse than before?

While the Bay Area overall has tended to do an effective job of controlling the virus throughout the pandemic, experts are deeply concerned about the trajectory of this latest surge.

“Given that we’re almost at the (summer) peak, even if we were to start aggressive intervention now, it’s very likely the total number of cases will exceed the worst numbers the Bay Area has ever seen so far,” said Robert Siegel, an infectious disease expert at Stanford University. “As these rates go still higher, it looks like we’ll join the rest of the country in the worst rates we’ve ever had in the pandemic.”

The worst rates for the Bay Area may not approach the devastation that unfolded in New York City early in the pandemic, or what’s happening now elsewhere in the country. Still, hospitalizations due to COVID-19 across the Bay Area have increased 38% since the beginning of November, with more than 400 patients for the first time since Sept. 23.

And, as many experts have said throughout this pandemic, the virus knows no boundaries.

“The whole state is experiencing this crush of cases, indeed the entire country is experiencing this crush of cases,” Santa Clara County health officer Sara Cody said in a news conference Monday. “In the past, we knew that we could rely on asking for help from other jurisdictions if we needed it. That’s not the case now because everyone is quite busy attending to their own residents and their own communities.”

Shannon Bennett, chief of science at the California Academy of Sciences, said rapid spread in rural parts of states that didn’t see big summer surges could have an exponential impact on California, as residents are widening their pods and moving around more.

“As the whole nation heats up, we’re going to be more at risk for bringing the virus into the state,” she said.

She said Californians may feel that they have been good throughout the pandemic, and decide to travel to a place where there is a “huge disparity in public messaging and government leadership.” That, she said, could in turn worsen the surge in the Bay Area.

Here are the main factors that make today’s situation different from the summer surge, and potentially more dangerous.

What’s different about this surge

To analyze how the current increase in cases compares to the summer surge, we looked at the average increase in new cases per day, which shows not just the mounting cases but the pace at which they are increasing.

From mid-May to mid-June, the period when cases first started to climb in California, the average increase in daily new cases was 46 stateside. From mid-June to mid-July it shot up to 193.5. In the Bay Area, the curve stayed flat longer and the number of new cases went from 3.1 early in the surge to 22.8 over the second half. (On July 15, a computer glitch in the state reporting office occurred, making data for the following few weeks unreliable with unreported cases followed by the clearing of large backlogs.)

Compare those numbers to the data from mid-October, when the latest surge in California began, to now, covering a span of 30 days: The average increase of new cases per day was 204.8 statewide, and 23.13 in the Bay Area. Both of those numbers are higher than during the final 30 days of the previous surge.

According to health officers, the primary factor driving this current surge appears to be social gatherings, with more people heading indoors as the weather cools. Many counties also point to pandemic fatigue in communities as people tire of sheltering in place and abiding by restrictions.

Unlike previous surges, the current one appears to be impacting a broader swath of people across the Bay Area.

In the summer, the spread was concentrated among groups including agricultural and factory workers, nursing homes and other congregate living facilities, Siegel said. Cases have disproportionately affected essential workers and communities of color, particularly the Latino populations in many counties.

Now, the spread is occurring everywhere.

In Contra Costa, for example, the summer surge was concentrated in communities of color and among essential workers.

“The surge we are seeing now is still hitting those communities hardest, but we are seeing increases in every community, so it is more widespread this time,” said Karl Fischer, spokesperson for Contra Costa Health Services.

The average increase in new cases per day was 2.1 in the summer surge, spiking to 3.3 during its height. Now, it is 4.5.

Fischer said this current surge shows a “rapid increase.” He said the county’s positive test rate and hospitalizations have also increased significantly in the past month.

In Napa, the peak case rate over the summer was 20.7 per 100,000 people. In the last week, the rate has gone as high as 26.3, the highest rate the county has seen so far, according to health officer Karen Relucio. (These rates are not the figures the state uses for reopening tier assignments, which are adjusted based on the number of tests performed in a county.)

In a presentation to the Napa County Board of Supervisors on Nov. 10, Relucio said a lack of cooperation with contact tracing has resulted in 35% of cases that are of unknown origin, which stunts the county’s ability to control the spread if they don’t know where the virus is coming from. Other drivers include household transmission, gatherings and travel outside of state.

The public messaging is empathetic, but also more direct now as the situation becomes more dire, Relucio said.

“Wishful thinking and complacency will not make the pandemic go away,” she said. “It’s past time for people to take personal responsibility, redouble their efforts and realize their actions affect others.”

In Marin County, health officer Matt Willis said the summer surge was concentrated in the essential worker population, primarily the Latino community, where many individuals were exposed at work and then brought the virus home. But recently, case rates in the essential worker and Latino communities appear to be steady.

“What seems to be driving cases now over the last three weeks is more cases among our white residents,” he said. Cases are more geographically spread across the county now, and they are being increasingly driven by social gatherings.

“The weather has just started to turn cold, we haven’t seen any influenza yet, the real holidays haven’t even begun, we’re still bringing children back in the classrooms and facing a lot more travel,” Willis said. “What’s particularly concerning is that this very rapid acceleration has preceded those things that we were most concerned about.”

Marin County, which dealt with the San Quentin outbreak in the summer, only recently started to see a rise in cases during this latest surge.

Why this surge may be more dangerous

Another worrisome factor in the Bay Area’s current spike is that it started with higher numbers compared to the period before the summer surge. A steep curve starting from a small number of cases is less dangerous compared to a steep curve starting from a lot more cases, Siegel said.

“That is manifest in the fact that many populations are being infected that were uninfected before,” he said.

During the Santa Clara County Board of Supervisors meeting Tuesday, health officer Dr. Sara Cody noted several differences in the current surge versus the summer surge, including that the county never got back to the low baseline reached in May.

“The rate of rise has been both steeper and faster than any of the previous increases that we have been experiencing here or elsewhere in the state,” she said.

In San Mateo County, congregate care facilities accounted for the bulk of coronavirus cases early on. The county sent support teams to assist with staffing and establishing isolation and quarantine protocols, which greatly helped reduce the numbers. Now, cases are rising among younger people, said Louise Rogers, chief of San Mateo County Health.

“Now we’re focused on really driving the message home to residents,” she said. “It’s our behaviors that are really key to beating back the virus right now, which includes wearing face coverings and avoiding gathering over holidays to protect the safety of our loved ones.”

Rogers said the county is in better shape now to address the surge than before, with supports in place including PPE, testing, hotel rooms and other infrastructure.

Willis said Marin County plans to triple staffing for contact investigation, mobile testing and testing results teams.

San Francisco officials have been preparing since the start of the pandemic for the possibility of more hospitalizations, and ensured hospitals have discussed and reviewed surge plans, said health department deputy director Naveena Bobba.

“The most recent surge demonstrates that this is bigger than any one county or any one region,” Rogers said. “I don’t have a crystal ball, but I’d really like to see the Bay Area set the course and demonstrate how to flatten this curve again.”