MUST SEE: All about particulate matter air pollution in the Bay Area

From James Leach of Lafayette, CA, on YouTube
[Editor: This is a really important, really helpful, informative and challenging video. I thought I knew all about air pollution, but I learned a lot here.  It’s 38 minutes, so get comfortable or bookmark and come back when you have a little time.  – R.S.]

Clearing the air

By James Leach, published on Aug 19, 2018
Solving the particulate matter air pollution problem in Lafayette, California and the San Francisco Bay Area Region.

Air monitoring in your neighborhood

Repost from League of Women Voters Bay Area Monitor
[Editor: Our small two-freeway/refinery town recently saw an increase in the number of residences with outdoor PurpleAir monitors – from 3 in December to 8 as of today.  For current air quality data in Benicia and how to buy your own PurpleAir monitor, see progressivedemocratsofbenicia.com.  – R.S.]

All Particulate is Local: New Tech Helps Map Community Air Quality

PurpleAir online mapping of the East Bay at the end of January shows real-time air quality data from sensors around the region. Image captured on 1/26/19 from PurpleAir.com.

“If we can’t see or smell fine particulate matter in our air, it’s hard to be concerned about it, but it can still harm our health,” warned Jim Leach in an online presentation targeted at his neighbors in Lafayette. In his YouTube video posted last August, he urged them to install small monitoring devices outside their homes, schools, and offices to detect worrisome levels of fine particulate matter. Leach is part of a growing movement, sometimes referred to as “citizen science,” in which ordinary individuals use smaller, more affordable devices to monitor and assess their environment.

In his case, Leach relied on a device made by a grassroots group calling themselves PurpleAir, a reference to the “very unhealthy” category on the Environmental Protection Agency’s Air Quality Index scale. He first purchased the device to explore local movement of wildfire smoke, but once he started exploring the data mapped by PurpleAir’s network of devices, he became aware of the many ways in which air quality can vary within a community. Lafayette may be a leafy suburb, but it is bisected by a busy freeway and its quiet neighborhoods lie in valleys that can trap smoke. PurpleAir’s online mapping showed higher levels of pollution in areas near the freeway and in certain neighborhoods, levels that might concern a resident planning to jog or school athletes practicing outdoors.

Leach is participating in the simplest form of hyper-local air quality monitoring. Propelled by leaps in technology and data communication, there is now a plethora of monitoring devices available for a few hundred dollars, rather than tens of thousands, opening up both new ways to assess our environment and new challenges involving what to do with that data.

The California Air Resources Board webpages on community monitoring reveal that many factors must be considered, such as the number of pollutants a device can measure, how it communicates its data, and whether that data is compatible with other monitoring systems. The issue of compatibility is important in order for monitoring data to be compared with or integrated into regulatory programs.

Fern Uennatornwaranggoon, Bay Area Air Quality Policy Manager for the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF), said her organization recognized the need to better capture air pollution at a very localized level, and saw an opportunity presented by the proliferation of new environmental sensors making it possible to collect data at previously unachievable scales. But methodologies to manage and use the new data didn’t exist.

After using different instruments and techniques in a range of projects, EDF is developing and publishing data standards guidelines. “EDF started this program out of necessity,” she explained. “It was a completely new field; no one else was doing it.” They have addressed how to format data (i.e., adding a time stamp), but guidelines on how to calibrate instruments to ensure data reliability and consistency, how to maintain quality assurance and quality control, and how to adjust for changes in weather and over time are still in the pipeline, Uennatornwaranggoon said, adding, “We are catalyzing a space, trying to create infrastructure that can be used by others. Our goal is to make the data findable, accessible, and usable by people, but we’re still a ways off.”

How people will use the data is also still evolving. Like Leach, people can buy a monitor that measures one pollutant, or several at a time. They can use the data to guide their daily activities, or as members of a group that is pressuring regulators for greater pollution controls.

Or they may live in a community like West Oakland or Richmond, where there are a number of sources of pollution, but most residents can’t afford to purchase their own devices. These two communities are improving their monitoring by participating in the Bay Area Air Quality Management District’s Community Health Protection Program, created by 2017’s Assembly Bill 617 (C. Garcia).

It might seem tempting to simply blanket a community with small individual devices and utilize those reporting networks. However, laboratories for the South Coast Air Quality Management District, the largest air quality regulator in the state, report error rates as high as 30 to 50 percent for some sensors. And there’s another problem. Eric Stevenson, meteorology and measurement director at the Bay Area’s Air District, commented, “You can’t just put PurpleAir all over. That may be a starting point, but in order to fully characterize a small area, you’d need hundreds of sensors, which is expensive even though each sensor is relatively inexpensive.”

Where to place them matters, too. EDF’s Uennatornwaranggoon said these efforts face a complex question: “How do you determine the most representative location or area in a community?”

One option is mobile monitoring. Google, EDF, the University of Texas at Austin, and environmental tech company Aclima conducted an innovative one-year air quality streetmapping study in West Oakland ending in May 2016. New compact sensors measuring black carbon and nitrogen oxides were installed in Google Street View cars, which repeatedly drove a set pattern of routes throughout the community. The sensors collected extremely large amounts of data from the constant sampling, which were matched with Google mapping to pinpoint hyper-local variations in air quality within the community. By comparing results to existing Air District monitors in the same area, as well as to other information on pollution sources, researchers confirmed that the sensors were showing places, and points in time, when pollution was highest in certain locations.

Melissa Lunden, chief scientist at the San Francisco-based Aclima, is excited about the potential of using streetmapping for neighborhood monitoring. “It’s a way for a community to make sure that there are answers for the questions that are being asked, without needing to hire their own computing experts,” she observed, explaining that the vast amounts of data acquired by the sensors requires “meta data centers” to process the information. “It allows a community member to take the information and create their own story that they can then use for action.” In West Oakland, streetmapping verified a local pollution source, a metal recycler. “Community members are talking about moving the facility so that it’s not in a residential neighborhood, to where it can expand and use new control technology,” Lunden reported.

Aclima will continue to work with West Oakland representatives on their monitoring plan and is open to participating in Richmond. “We are talking about how to design a sampling program to give reliable standard results, and we would suggest options to the community,” Lunden said. “Our program is easily deployed to map an area of any size. It’s flexible and mutable.”

Stevenson noted that unlike West Oakland, Richmond is just getting started. Following an Air Quality summit scheduled for February 16, which will educate the community about the issues, a steering committee will guide the design of a monitoring plan. “The Air District will start with asking ‘What are your biggest concerns? Here’s what we can do to monitor for those concerns’,” said Stevenson. “We have a general idea of the air quality based on our current network,” he explained. “We need to devise a screening method with enough accuracy to ID sources.”

Stevenson emphasized that the focus is on the community rather than the source. “The message is that we want to monitor in your neighborhood, but we want to do it in an efficient and effective way,” he said, adding that “once you have sound data that people can agree on, people respond to it.”

Stevenson said he considers a mobile platform like Aclima’s to be the best solution for screening for local sources of pollution, but he noted that there is still a role for the “citizen scientist,” particularly for specific events like wildfire smoke. While Aclima’s mapping cars tracked the invasion of smoke from November’s fire in Paradise into the region, Lunden reported only a couple of cars on limited routes provided early data, and once smoke was more dispersed, results were not as clear. “PurpleAir monitors are great for seeing changes in air quality moving through the Bay Area. By comparing various locations against each other at a given point in time, they can help with forecasting and tracking movement [of pollutants] through the area,” Stevenson concluded.

Leslie Stewart covers air quality and energy for the Monitor.

Oil trains make comeback as pipeline bottlenecks worsen

Repost from the Toronto Star (orig. in the Wall Street Journal)

Crude-by-rail has rebounded across U.S. as production has outstripped pipeline capacity

2 Feb 2019, By Rebecca Elliott and Paul Ziobro, The Wall Street Journal
Much of the recent oil train growth is due to record shipments from Canada, where pipeline expansion projects have stalled. | MATTHEW BROWN THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILE PHOTO

The use of trains to carry crude is surging after dropping in recent years amid concerns about safety, as drillers in parts of North America produce more oil than area pipelines can accommodate.

An average of 718,000 barrels of crude a day traversed America’s railways as of October, the latest data available, an 88% increase from a year earlier, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. That compares with a peak average of about 1.1 million barrels in October 2014.

Much of the recent oil train growth is due to record shipments from Canada, where pipeline expansion projects, including Keystone XL and Trans Mountain, have stalled amid environmental opposition and legal delays. Crude-by-rail shipments also have ticked up from North Dakota’s Bakken region and the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico, according to energy-monitoring firm Genscape Inc.

The crude-by-rail comeback is expected to last through late this year in the Permian, and longer in North Dakota and Canada, as companies struggle to lay new pipe as quickly as drillers are getting oil out of the ground.

Shipping oil by train is more expensive than sending it through a pipeline, so producers often avoid making longterm commitments to rail companies. It costs about $20 a barrel to send oil by rail from Canada to the U.S. Gulf Coast, compared with about $12.50 by pipeline, according to energy investment bank Tudor Pickering Holt & Co.

But pipeline projects typically lag behind growth in oil and gas production, and the gap has lengthened in many parts of the country in recent years as local activism has made it increasingly difficult to complete projects. Meantime, North American oil production topped 15.6 million barrels daily in August, a 17% annual increase, according to the EIA.

Bottlenecks have grown particularly severe in Canada. Heavy crude there was selling locally for more than $50 a barrel below U.S. benchmark prices last fall, reflecting producers’ inability to get it to market due to pipeline problems. U.S. oil prices have since fallen about 24%, closing at $54.23 a barrel on Wednesday.

The congestion in Canada spurred companies including Houston-based ConocoPhillips and Calgary-based Cenovus Energy Inc. to ink rail deals.

“The intention is to bridge us over to the next major pipeline expansion, so a few years,” ConocoPhillips finance chief Don Wallette, Jr. said last fall.

Cenovus’s three-year agreements will allow it to transport about 100,000 barrels of oil daily to the U.S. Gulf Coast, where refiners mix it with lighter crudes to produce fuel.

In October, about half of the oil the U.S. imported by rail from its northern neighbor went to the Gulf Coast, EIA data show, helping to offset a 30% decline in crude purchases from Venezuela over the past two years. Roughly a quarter went to the Midwest, while smaller amounts went to the East and West coasts.

Derailments, notably one in Lac-Mégantic, Quebec, that killed 47 people in 2013, have raised concerns about the safety of transporting oil by trains on a large scale. That prompted federal regulators to impose tougher safety requirements for railcars, though opposition remains in some communities.

The heightened demand for oil train transportation has benefited railroads including Union Pacific Corp., whose petroleum shipments rose 30% last year to 228,470 carloads as the company handled more crude oil. But Chief Executive Lance Fritz said the Omaha, Neb.-based railroad isn’t investing heavily to support crude-by-rail shipping because the demand could evaporate once major pipeline projects come online. “We’re careful to make these commitments because it’s a short-lived phenomenon,” Mr. Fritz said in a recent interview. “It’s just not going to be around for long-term returns.”

Since shipping oil by rail is generally more expensive, pipelines remain a more attractive option when available, analysts say. “People would love to have the optionality to move onto crude by rail whenever they want to, but nobody wants to be signing a check for it,” RBN Energy analyst John Zanner said.

Mr. Zanner said because of limited supply of railcars and other infrastructure he doesn’t expect oil train shipments from Canada to increase significantly as a result of U.S. sanctions on Venezuela’s state-owned oil company.

Oil companies often use trains on an ad hoc basis, and rail provides geographic and financial alternatives for producers wary of committing to new pipes. Pipeline companies typically won’t proceed with a project unless drillers sign multiyear contracts guaranteeing payment regardless of whether they have oil to ship.

Whiting Petroleum Corp. is weighing those trade-offs in North Dakota, where it is evaluating whether to support an additional pipeline or rely on costlier, but more flexible, crude-by-rail transportation. Crude production in the state, once the heart of oil-train transportation, has swelled about 38% since the Dakota Access Pipeline opened in 2017, federal data show, testing the limits of existing pipelines.

In November, oil sold in Minnesota fetched as much as $19 a barrel less than it would have at the main U.S. trading hub in Cushing, Okla., reflecting the bottleneck, according to price reporting agency S&P Global Platts. “You’re always balancing between getting the infrastructure in place versus flexibility,” said Peter Hagist, a senior vice president for Whiting.

Listening in: Valero on recent earnings, then Q&A with investors

Repost from The Motley Fool
[Valero’s profits continue at massive levels, although not as high as in 2017 when the Republicans gave corporations unheard-of tax windfalls.  I have  highlighted  the only reference to west coast production.  Of special interest: search this long transcript for the 9 references to “exports” and the 18 references to “rail.”  – R.S.]

Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

VLO earnings call for the period ending December 28, 2018.
By Motley Fool Transcribers, Jan 31, 2019 at 4:36PM
Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.
IMAGE SOURCE: THE MOTLEY FOOL.

Valero Energy Corp  (NYSE:VLO)
Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call
Jan. 31, 2019, 10:00 a.m. ET

Contents:
Prepared Remarks
Questions and Answers
Call Participants
Prepared Remarks:
Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Valero Energy Corporation’s Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, there will be a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Homer Bhullar, Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.

Homer Bhullar — Vice President, Investor Relations

Good morning, and welcome to Valero Energy Corporation’s fourth quarter 2018 earnings conference call. With me today are Joe Gorder, our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; Donna Titzman, our Executive Vice President and CFO; Lane Riggs, our Executive Vice President and COO; Jason Fraser, our Executive Vice President and General Counsel and several other members of Valero Senior Management team.

If you have not received the earnings release and would like a copy, you can find one on our website at valero.com. Also attached to the earnings release are tables that provide additional financial information on our business segments. If you have any questions after reviewing these tables, please feel free to contact our Investor Relations team after the call.

I would like to direct your attention to the forward-looking statement disclaimer contained in the press release. In summary, it says that statements in the press release and on this conference call that state the company’s or management’s expectations or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements intended to be covered by the Safe Harbor provisions under federal securities laws. There are many factors that could cause actual results to differ from our expectations, including those we’ve described in our filings with the SEC.

Now I’ll turn the call over to Joe for opening remarks.

Joseph W. Gorder — Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Homer, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased to report that we completed another good quarter where we ran our business well and delivered solid financial results. Throughout the quarter, we maintained our unrelenting focus on operations excellence, which enabled us to operate safely and reliably in an environmentally responsible manner.

We also delivered on our commitment to invest in growth projects and acquisitions that increase Valero’s earnings capability, while maintaining solid returns to our stockholders. In 2018, we matched our 2017 record for process safety performance, and we continued to outperform the industry on our personnel injury rates.

For logistics investments we made over the last several years are contributing significantly to earnings. Our investments in Line 9B, the Diamond Pipeline and the Sunrise Pipeline expansion increased our systems flexibility, allowing us to take advantage of the opportunities available in the fourth quarter of 2018. In fact, we set a record for total light crude runs at 1.5 million barrels per day and a record for North American light crudes process at over 1.3 million barrels per day.

We also continued to maximize product exports into higher netback markets in Latin America. Turning to capital allocation, we continued to execute according to our disciplined framework. Our projects in execution remain on track. Construction is scheduled to finish on the Houston alkylation unit in the second quarter and the Central Texas pipelines and terminals are expected to be completed in mid 2019. Continue reading Listening in: Valero on recent earnings, then Q&A with investors

For safe and healthy communities…