Previous report, Monday, June 15

Summary

• Solano County reported only 2 new positive cases today, and added no new cases on Sunday and Monday.  Encouraging: only 2 cases in 3 days, total of 687.
• No new deaths today, total of 23.
• 8 fewer active cases since yesterday, total 70.
• Only 132 residents tested since yesterday (down from over 400  per day over the weekend and Monday).
• Youth – no new cases today among the 17 and under age group, total 40.  There have been 35 new cases among those age 17 and under in the last 34 days, with only 6 new cases over the 5 weeks prior.

BY AGE GROUP

• No new cases among those 17 and under, total of 40 cases, including one hospitalization. Our concern remains: cases among youth have increased in recent weeks to 5.8% of the 687 total confirmed cases.  And there have been 35 new cases among those age 17 and under in the last 34 days, with only 6 new cases over the 5 weeks prior.
• 1 new case among persons 18-49 years of age, total of 339 cases.  No new hospitalizations or deaths, total of 24 hospitalized at one time and 2 deaths.  This age group represents 49.3% of the 687 total cases, the highest percentage of all age groups.   24 of the 339 cases in this age group have been hospitalized at one time, 7.1% of total cases in the age group.
• No new cases among persons 50-64 years of age, total of 164 cases.  No new hospitalizations or deaths, total of 30 hospitalized at one time and 3 deaths.  This age group represents 23.9% of the 687 total cases.   30 of the 164 cases in this age group have been hospitalized at one time, 18.3% of total cases in the age group.
• 1 new case among persons 65 years or older total 144 cases, including no new hospitalizations and no new deaths, total of 38 hospitalized at one time and 18 deaths.  This age group represents 21.0% of the 687 total cases.  38 of the 144 cases in this age group (26.4) were hospitalized at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups.  And… this group counts for 18 of the 23 deaths, over 78%.

CITY DATA

• Vallejo added 1 new case today, total of 337.
• Fairfield added 1 new case today, total of 173.
• Vacaville remained at 82 cases.
• Suisun City remained at 46 cases.
• Benicia remained at 25 cases.
• Dixon remained at 14 cases.
• Rio Vista and “Unincorporated” are still not assigned numerical data: today both remain at <10 (less than 10).  The total numbers for other cities add up to 677, leaving 10 cases somewhere among the 2 locations in this “<10” category (same as last reported).  Residents and city officials have pressured County officials for city case counts.  Today’s data is welcome, but still incomplete.

TOTAL HOSPITALIZATIONS:  93 of Solano’s 687 cases resulted in hospitalizations since the outbreak started, same as yesterday and  steady at 93 since last Wednesday, June 10.  Cumulative hospitalizations is a most important stat to watch.  On May 1 there were 51 hospitalizations, and the daily increase was relatively steady, adding 2 or less each day.  But on May 22, the County reported 4 new hospitalizations, 9 more on May 29, and 3 more on June 2.  We are back to 1 or 2 a day lately or even remaining steady as today.  We need to keep our eyes on these numbers.

ACTIVE CASES:  70 of the 687 cases are currently active, 12 fewer than yesterday (and 18 fewer than last Friday).  This is a something of a mystery, given that the County is reporting 30 NEW cases since Friday.  Active cases had been trending lower until a steep increase last week.  We were at 72 active cases on May 28; down to 42 on June 8, and bouncing back up to 88 on Friday June 12.  Has the County changed its definition of “active”?  Below you will see that only 14 of the active cases are currently hospitalized, which leaves 56 of these 70 active cases out in our communities somewhere, and hopefully quarantined.

HOSPITAL IMPACT: The County shows 14 of the 93 hospitalized cases are CURRENTLY hospitalized, steady since last Friday, good news!  The County’s count of ICU beds available and ventilator supply remains at “GOOD” at 31-100%. (No information is given on our supply of test kits, PPE and staff.)
TESTING: The County reports that 16,981 residents have been tested as of today, an increase of only 132 residents tested since yesterday (down from over 440 per day over the weekend and Monday).  Testing will continue to be a very important way of limiting and tracking outbreaks – please go get a test if you can!  Testing sites in Vallejo and Vacaville are open to anyone – see locations below.  We have a long way to go: only 3.5% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

TESTING SITE LOCATIONS:
Vacaville – 1681 E Monte Vista Ave, Vacaville, CA 95688 (entrance at the end of Nut Tree Road)
Vallejo – 1121 Whitney Ave, Vallejo, CA (North Vallejo Community Center)

Solano’s curve – cumulative cases as of June 16

This chart shows that the infection’s steady upward trajectory may be flattening a bit in Solano County.  Too soon to tell.  Our nursing homes, long-term care facilities and jails bear watching, and social distancing is still incredibly important: everyone stay home if you don’t need to go out, wear masks when you do go out (especially in enclosed spaces), wash hands, and be safe!