Solano County COVID weekend spike: over 55 cases per day, 7-day average test rate at 6.9%


[Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE.]

Monday, November 2: 167 new cases over the weekend, no new deaths, 3 new hospitalizations.  Since the outbreak began: 7,801 cases, 532 hospitalized, 76 deaths.Compare previous report, Friday, Oct. 30:Summary

  • Solano County reported 167 new cases over the weekend, about 56 per day, much higher than average of late.  Total of 7,801 cases since the outbreak started.
  • Deaths – no new deaths reported today.  Total of 76 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
  • Active cases – Solano reported 3 fewer ACTIVE case today, total of 393.  Note that only 26 of these 393 people are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined.  Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who knows?  To my knowledge, Solano County has offered no reports on contact tracing.
  • Hospitalizations – Solano County reported the number of currently hospitalized persons decreased by 1 over the weekend, total of 26.  Last week, TOTAL hospitalized since the outbreak began INCREASED DRAMATICALLY, adding 106 previously unreported hospitalizations!  Today the numbers increased by 3, total of 532 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  For manual calculation of total, see age group stats below.
  • ICU BedsThe County reported a rise in ICU beds available today, up from 38% to 41%(Still no information about availability of ventilators.)

Positive Test Rate

Solano County reported today that our 7-day average test rate rose today from 6.7% to 6.9%.  Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus.  The much lower and more stable California 7-day test rate has been on the rise lately, rose slightly today, from 3.1% to 3.2%(Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  The 7-day curve also lags behind current unknown results.) 

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 24 new cases over the weekend, total of 889 cases, representing 11.4% of the 7,801 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued just over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low.  The significance is this: 1) youth numbers increased steadily and at a faster rate than the other age groups, and 2) youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact 14 youth have now been hospitalized.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 91 new cases over the weekend, total of 4,589 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups. No new hospitalizations reported today.  No new deaths in this young group today, total of 6 deaths.  Some in this group are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 37 new cases over the weekend, total of 1,514 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 7,801 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today.  No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 14 new cases today, total of 806, representing 10.3% of Solano’s 7,801 total cases3 new hospitalizations reported today.  No new deaths in this age group today, total of 55 of our elders who died of COVID.  This group accounts for 55 of the 76 total deaths, or 72%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 6 new cases today, total of 197 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 15 new cases today, total of 517 cases.
  • Fairfield added 40 new cases today, total of 2,483 cases.
  • Rio Vista added 2 new cases today, total of 61 cases.
  • Suisun City added 13 new cases today, total of 567 cases.
  • Vacaville added 42 new cases today, total of 1,436 cases.
  • Vallejo added 48 new cases today, total of 2,514 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas added 1 new case today, total of 26 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 10% of cases, 11% of hospitalizations, and 20% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 18% of hospitalizations, and 24% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 27% of cases, 29% of hospitalizations, and 17% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 23% of cases, 25% of hospitalizations and 29% of deaths.

More…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.