Solano County COVID cases top 10,000, 112 new cases, 12 new hospitalizations, test rate 12.3%


[Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE.]

Wednesday, November 25: 112 new cases overnight, no deaths.  Since the outbreak began: 10,036 cases, 597 hospitalized, 81 deaths.Compare previous report, Tuesday, Nov. 23:Summary

  • Solano County reported 112 new cases overnight.  As of today, Solano has seen an average of 115 new cases per day over the last 14 days!  Total of 10,036 cases since the outbreak started.
  • Deaths – no new deaths reported today, a total of 81 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
  • Active cases – Solano reported 58 more active cases today, having added 60 over the weekend and 77 yesterday, total of 913 active cases, a Solano County record Active cases have increased alarmingly lately – COMPARE: average number of Active Cases during October was 284 – today we are at 913!!  Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who knows?  To my knowledge, Solano has offered no reports on contact tracing.
  • Hospitalizations – The County didn’t report on hospitalizations at all on Monday and Tuesday this week.  (See BenIndy report, SFChron and CA.gov report sharp rise in Solano hospitalizations.)  Today the County reports that the number of CURRENTLY hospitalized persons increased by 12, total of 63.
    Solano County hospitalizations, 11/24/20, Covid19.ca.gov

    Covid19.ca.gov reports an additional 11 suspected cases who are currently hospitalized, for a possible total of 74 currently hospitalized COVID patients.
    TOTAL hospitalized since the outbreak began increased by 48 (!) today, total of 597.  This one-day increase of 48 probably represents a catching up on hospitalizations previously unreported by the County.  [For manual calculation of total, see age group stats below.]

  • ICU Beds – The County reported fewer ICU beds available today, dropping from 52% to 33%.  The percentage has fluctuated widely over the last week or so, ranging from 21% to last Friday’s 52%.  Covid19.ca.gov reports details: Solano County has 15 COVID patients in ICU beds (and 2 additional suspected COVID patients in ICU beds), possible total of 17, with 12 ICU beds remaining available.
  • Testing – The County reports today that 1,066 residents were tested since yesterday, a total of 124,077 unduplicated residents tested for COVID-19 since the outbreak began.  27.7% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

Positive Test Rate – still extremely high, 12.3%

Solano County reported our 7-day average positive test rate yesterday fell from yesterday’s all-time high of 15.5% to 12.3% – still far and away over the State’s purple tier threshold of 8%Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring community spread of the virus.  The much lower and more stable California 7-day average test rate has also been on the rise lately, and rose substantially today from 5.9% to 6.5%(Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  The 7-day curve therefore also lags behind due to unknown recent test results.) 

By Age Group
  • Youth 17 and under – 23 new cases today, total of 1,151 cases, representing 11.5% of the 10,036 total cases.  No new hospitalizations reported today among this age group.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued at over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low.  The significance is this: youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact at least 14 of our youth have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 182 (!) new cases today, total of 5,864 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported 12 new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today.  A total of 193 have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this young group today, total of 6 deaths.  Some in this group are surely at high risk, as many are providing essential services among us, and some may be ignoring public health orders.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 60 (!) new cases today, total of 1,950 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 10,036 total cases.  The County reported 9 new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today.  A total of 161 have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 26 new cases today, total of 1066, representing 10.6% of Solano’s 10,036 total cases.  The County reported 27 (!) new hospitalizations among persons in this age group today.  A total of 229 have been hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this age group today, total of 60 of our elders who died of COVID.  This group accounts for 60 of the 81 total deaths, or 74%.
City Data
  • Benicia added 9 new cases today, total of 276 cases since the outbreak began. 
  • Dixon added 27 (!) new cases today, total of 670 cases.
  • Fairfield added 75 (!) new cases today, total of 3,076 cases.
  • Rio Vista added 3 new cases today, total of 80 cases.
  • Suisun City added 20 (!) new cases today, total of 691 cases.
  • Vacaville added 72 (!) new cases today, total of 2,030 cases.
  • Vallejo added 81 (!) new cases today, total of 3,174 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas added 4 (!) new cases today, total of 39 cases.
Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 10% of cases, 12% of hospitalizations, and 19% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 17% of hospitalizations, and 23% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 23% of cases, 27% of hospitalizations, and 18% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 25% of cases, 27% of hospitalizations and 33% of deaths.
More…

The County’s Coronavirus Dashboard is USUALLY full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight significant portions.  For more, check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.