Previous report, Tuesday, June 16

Summary

• Solano County reported a one-day record of 105 new positive cases today, total of 792 cases.
• No new deaths today, total of 23.
• Another one-day record of 62 additional active cases since yesterday, total 132.
• Testing – 1,381 residents were tested since yesterday, quite likely yet another one-day record for Solano.
• Youth – 12 new cases today among the 17 and under age group, total 52.  There have been 47 new cases among Solano youth in the last 35 days, with only 6 new cases over the 5 weeks prior.

BY AGE GROUP

• 12 new cases! among those 17 and under, total of 52 cases, including one hospitalization. With today’s 12 new cases, our concern is heightened: there have been 47 new cases among those age 17 and under in the last 35 days, with only 6 new cases over the 5 weeks prior!  And cases among youth have increased in recent weeks to 6.6% of the 792 total confirmed cases.
• 67 new cases! …among persons 18-49 years of age, total of 406 cases.  2 new hospitalizations, no new deaths, total of 26 hospitalized at one time and 2 deaths.  This age group now represents over 50% of the 792 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.   26 of the 406 cases in this age group have been hospitalized at one time, 6.4% of total cases in the age group.
• 22 new cases! among persons 50-64 years of age, total of 186 cases.  1 new hospitalization, no new deaths, total of 31 hospitalized at one time and 3 deaths.  This age group represents 23.5% of the 792 total cases.   31 of the 186 cases in this age group have been hospitalized at one time, 16.7% of total cases in the age group.
• 4 new cases among persons 65 years or older, total 148 cases, including 1 new hospitalization and no new deaths, total of 39 hospitalized at one time and 18 deaths.  This age group represents 18.7% of the 792 total cases.  39 of the 148 cases in this age group (26.4) were hospitalized at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups.  And… this group counts for 18 of the 23 deaths, over 78%.

CITY DATA

• Vallejo added 34 new cases today, total of 371.
• Fairfield added 46 new cases today, total of 219.
• Vacaville added 16 new cases today, total of 98 cases.
• Suisun City added 5 new cases today, total of 51 cases.
• Benicia remained at 25 cases.
• Dixon added 3 new cases today, total of 17 cases.
• Rio Vista and “Unincorporated” are still not assigned numerical data: today both remain at <10 (less than 10).  1 new case was evidently in this group today, unaccounted for among the other city counts.  The total numbers for other cities add up to 781, leaving 11 cases somewhere among the 2 locations in this “<10” category (one more than last reported).  Residents and city officials have pressured County officials for city case counts.  Today’s data is welcome, but still incomplete.

TOTAL HOSPITALIZATIONS:  97 of Solano’s 792 cases resulted in hospitalizations since the outbreak started, 4 more than yesterday.  Cumulative hospitalizations is a most important stat to watch.  On May 1 there were 51 hospitalizations, and the daily increase was relatively steady, adding 2 or less each day.  But on May 22, the County reported 4 new hospitalizations, 9 more on May 29, and 3 more on June 2.  We were back to 1 or 2 a day lately or even remaining steady until today’s increase by 4.  We need to keep our eyes on these numbers.

ACTIVE CASES:  132 of the 792 cases are currently active, an astonishing increase of 62 more than yesterday.  Again, this is a something of a mystery to me, given that the County is reporting 105 NEW cases today.  105 NEW cases but only 62 additional ACTIVE cases?  I’m sure there’s an explanation, but….  Note that active cases had been trending lower until a steep increase last week.  We were at 72 active cases on May 28; down to 42 on June 8, and bouncing back up to 88 on Friday June 12.  And now today’s big jump to 132.  Below you will see that only 10 of the active cases are currently hospitalized, which leaves 122 of these 132 active cases out in our communities somewhere, and hopefully quarantined.

HOSPITAL IMPACT: The County shows only 10 of the 97 hospitalized cases are CURRENTLY hospitalized, 4 fewer than yesterday, good news!  The County’s count of ICU beds available and ventilator supply remains at “GOOD” at 31-100%. (No information is given on our supply of test kits, PPE and staff.)
TESTING: The County reports that 18,362 residents have been tested as of today, an increase of 1,381 residents tested since yesterday!  Testing has increased by a large degree over the last 2 weeks, and will continue to be a very important way of limiting and tracking outbreaks – please go get a test if you can!  Testing sites in Vallejo and Vacaville are open to anyone – see locations below.  We still have a long way to go: only 3.1% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

TESTING SITE LOCATIONS:
Vacaville – 1681 E Monte Vista Ave, Vacaville, CA 95688 (entrance at the end of Nut Tree Road)
Vallejo – 1121 Whitney Ave, Vallejo, CA (North Vallejo Community Center)

Solano’s curve – sharp upturn in cumulative cases as of June 17

This chart shows the infection’s steady upward trajectory in Solano County with a sudden jump today.  Our nursing homes, long-term care facilities and jails bear watching, and social distancing is still incredibly important: everyone stay home if you don’t need to go out, wear masks when you do go out (especially in enclosed spaces), wash hands, and be safe!