Solano COVID-19 numbers up again, increase in hospitalizations and positive test rates

Thursday, July 16: 76 new cases today, no new deaths.  Since the outbreak started: 2,483 cases, 31 deaths.

Compare previous report, Wednesday July 15:Summary

  • Solano County reported 76 new cases today, total of 2,483 cases since the outbreak started.  Over the last 7 days, Solano reported 498 new cases, an average of 71 per day.
  • No new deaths today, total of 31.
  • HospitalizationsSolano is reporting a rather alarming upward trend, including  9 more currently hospitalized persons today, total of 55.  Oddly, the County reports an increase of only 1 in the total number hospitalized since the outbreak started, 124.  Not sure how this can be accurate….  (The County no longer reports Total Hospitalized plainly, but you can add the numbers in the Age Group chart.)
  • Active cases Solano reported 54 new ACTIVE cases today, total of 440.  The number of Active Cases has been climbing steadily in July, increasing from 307 active cases to today’s record high of 440.  Note that only 55 of these 440 active cases are hospitalized; a lot of infected people are out among us, hopefully quarantined.  One wonders… is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?
  • ICU beds Available remained steady at 39%.  Ventilators Available also remained steady at 90%.
  • Testing 304 residents were tested since yesterday, total of 40,700.  But we still have a long way to go: only 9% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

Percent Positive Test Rate

Solano County reported today’s 7-day percent positive test rate at 8.4%, up from 7.3% yesterday, 6.7% Tuesday, and 5.3% on Monday.  For some reason, these numbers do not agree with the County’s daily figures on the chart.  In addition to daily figures, the dashboard shows a line graph charting the positive test rate over time. The dramatic daily increases this week will begin to show on the 7-day average line sometime next week.  CONTEXT: Increasingly, health officials and news reports are focusing on percent positive test rates.  Most Bay Area counties report daily on their seven-day average percent positive test rate, but Solano County did not until Monday.  This information is immediately important, as test positivity is one of the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus.  Positive test rates in California and other southwestern states have been on the rise.  Johns Hopkins: California’s positivity rate today is reported at 7.3% (down by 0.2% from yesterday).

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 4 new cases today, total of 237 cases, and no new hospitalizations, total only 2 since the outbreak beganTwo weeks ago, there were only 132 cases among this age group – we’ve seen over 100 new cases in just 14 days!  I continue to raise an alarm for Solano’s youth.  Cases among Solano youth have increased in recent weeks to 9.6% of the 2,483 total confirmed cases.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 53 new cases today, total of 1503 cases.  This age group represents over 60% of the 2,483 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported no new hospitalizations and no new deaths among this age group today, total of 32 hospitalized since the outbreak began, and 2 deaths.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 11 new cases today, total of 479 cases.  This age group represents over 19% of the 2,483 total cases1 new hospitalization today, total of 39 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths, total of 3 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 8 new cases today, total of 263 cases.  This age group represents 10.6% of the 2,483 total cases. No new hospitalizations, total of 51 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths, total of 26 deaths.  In this older age group, just under 20% of cases required hospitalization at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups This group accounts for 26 of the 31 deaths, or 84%.

Incidence Rate: Cases, Hospitalizations, Deaths

On the Race/Ethnicity chart and the Age Group chart there are “Rate” tabs.  Today’s report shows:

    • Solano County has 552 positive cases per population of 100,000, up from 536 yesterday and 462 last Friday (Compare this number with the City incidence rates, below.)
    • 28 Solano hospitalizations per population of 100,000, about the same as yesterday.
    • 7 Solano deaths per population of 100,000, unchanged since yesterday.

City Data

  • Benicia added 2 new cases today, total of 52 cases.  Benicia was extremely stable with only 2 new cases for the entire month of June.  Now Benicia has seen 23 new cases in 14 days.  The numbers are small in comparison to other Solano cities, but something’s definitely going on in Benicia!
  • Dixon added 1 new case today, total of 133 cases.
  • Fairfield added 22 new cases today, total of 853.  Fairfield has more positive cases than anywhere in Solano County.
  • Rio Vista added 0 new cases today, total of 23 cases.
  • Suisun City added 6 new cases today, total of 185 cases.
  • Vacaville added 24 new cases today, total of 410 cases.
  • Vallejo added 21 new cases today, total of 819.
  • Unincorporated areas – Although the County still still shows Unincorporated at <10 (less than 10), a little math tells the story: Solano’s unincorporated areas remained steady at 8 cases, those unaccounted for in the other City totals.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity data includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  There are also tabs showing a calculated rate per 100,000 by race/ethnicity for each of these boxes.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  As of today:

  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 22% of cases, 22% of hospitalizations and 21% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 13% of Solano’s population, and account for 12% of cases, but 27% of hospitalizations, and 32% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 35% of cases, 30% of hospitalizations, and 25% of deaths.
  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases and 14% of hospitalizations, but 18% of deaths.

Much more…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at