Tag Archives: 7-day moving average

Solano County COVID-19 report shows ‘7-day Moving Average’ of 30 positive cases per day, spiking in mid-June

Wednesday, June 24: 44 new cases today, no new deaths. Since the outbreak started: total of 1,064 cases , 101 hospitalized, 23 deaths.

Compare yesterday’s report, Tuesday June 23:Summary

  • Solano County reported 44 new cases today, total of 1,064 cases since the outbreak started.
  • No new deaths today, total of 23, and 2 new hospitalizations, total of 101.
  • Solano reported 33 new ACTIVE cases today, total 254.
  • Testing – Solano county reported only 203 residents were tested since yesterday’s report, many fewer than in previous days.

Solano’s new Public Health Dashboard design has 2 panels

The County’s new Public Health Dashboard design includes the “Summary Data” panel (above) and the “Details/Demographics” panel (here below).  Note that both panels are user interactive – hover over a chart (or tap) to get details. On the Details/Demographics panel, most of the charts have an additional tab showing the rate per 100,000.   Go there and explore the two panels.  (Expand a chart by clicking the small button in its upper right corner.)

SEVEN DAY MOVING AVERAGE

The County has added an important new feature: a Seven day moving average chart.  The chart is “The average of the number of laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Solano County residents over the past 7 calendar days, by the date that their specimens were collected.”  Here is today’s chart, with a 7-day moving average of 30 new cases per day, up from 16 yesterday This chart shows a significant rise in the average number of cases during mid-June.

BY AGE GROUP

  • Youth 17 and under – 1 new case today, total of 82 cases, only one ever hospitalized. 10 days ago, there were only 39 cases among this age group – we’ve seen over 42 new cases in 12 days!  Today was a good report, but I continue to be alarmed for Solano’s youth.  The trend has been rising dramatically.  Cases among Solano youth have increased in recent weeks to nearly 8% of the 1,064 total confirmed casesThe Centers for Disease Control and Prevention puts the figure of coronavirus-infected kids younger than 18 at around 4% of those with the disease.  Our youth are testing positive at double the national rate!
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 34 new cases today, total of 600 cases.  This age group represents 56% of the 1,064 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported 1 new hospitalization among this age group today, and no new deaths.  Total of 27 hospitalized at one time and 2 deaths.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 7 new cases today, total of 223 cases.  This age group represents 21% of the 1,064 total cases1 new hospitalization today, total of 34 hospitalized at one time.  No new deaths, total of 3 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 2 new cases today, total of 158 cases.  This age group represents 15% of the 1,064 total cases.  No new hospitalizations and no new deaths today.  Total of 39 hospitalized at one time and 18 deaths.  In this older age group, 25% were hospitalized at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups And this group counts for 18 of the 23 deaths, or 78%.

CITY DATA

  • Vallejo added 10 new cases today, total of 446.
  • Fairfield added 24 new cases today, total of 339.
  • Vacaville added 5 new cases today, total of 143 cases.
  • Suisun City added 3 new cases today, total of 68 cases.
  • Benicia remained at 25 cases.
  • Dixon is reported at 2 new cases today, total of 29 cases.
  • Rio Vista and “Unincorporated” are still not assigned numerical data: today both remain at <10 (less than 10).  The total numbers for other cities add up to 1,050, leaving 14 cases somewhere among the 2 locations in this “<10” category (one more than last reported)Residents and city officials have pressured County officials for city case counts.  Today’s data is welcome, but remains incomplete for folks in Rio Vista and unincorporated areas of the County.
  • The “Rate” column shows the rate of positive COVID-19 cases (per 100,000 population) for each city.  Benicia is leading the way here, with a rate of only 92 cases per 100,000. Compare with other Solano cities in the chart, and note that the CDC reports today’s rate in California at 463 per 100,000 (up from 450 yesterday).  Johns Hopkins lists the overall Solano County rate at 228 (up from 209 yesterday).

RACE / ETHNICITY

The County is reporting on race / ethnicity data for the first time, including case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  There are tabs showing the rate per 100,000 by race / ethnicity for each of these boxes .

This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  As of today:

  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 25% of cases, 23% of hospitalizations (up 2% over yesterday) and 23% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 13% of cases, but 29% of hospitalizations and 36% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 35% of cases.  They account for 24% of hospitalizations and only 14 % of deaths.
  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 13% of cases and 15% of hospitalizations (down 1% from yesterday), but 23% of deaths.

MUCH MORE…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.