While much of the nine-county Bay Area has seen fairly steady and minimal growth in the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19, Solano County just recorded its single biggest one-day jump in cases.
On Wednesday, Solano County added 105 new cases to its tally, a rise of 15 percent for a cumulative total of 792. The county’s Daily Republic newspaper spoke to Health Officer Dr. Bela Matyas explains that the jump reflects a backlog of suspected cases under investigation which he decided to add to the total yesterday. And he suggests that while there is “no evidence” to suggest that the reopening of restaurants and other businesses is to blame for the uptick, he betrays a bit of trepidation about how the public is handling the reopening in the county.
“When I drive around town, I get the sense that it is pre-COVID,” he tells the paper, noting that he sees a lot of social gatherings happening without precautions.
Matyas blames those gatherings along with recent protest marches and a group of cases that originated in vineyards across the county line in Napa for the uptick in confirmed cases.
46 of the new cases were found in Fairfield — where, according to Matyas, many of the infected vineyard workers live — and 34 cases were found in Vallejo, where a week of sometimes violent protests rocked the city two weeks ago. Overall, Vallejo has been home to nearly half of all the county’s confirmed cases to date — 371 in total.
Matyas was one of the early naysayers about region-wide lockdowns that occurred in March, and was notably the last of the nine Bay Area health officers to institute strict shelter-in-place orders. When he did, he called it a “stay-at-home” order, and he still expressed skepticism that workplaces with cubicles were at all dangerous for the spread of the coronavirus.
Here he is on March 17:
Solano County opened its restaurants for indoor dining back on May 21, two months ahead of the current date set for indoor dining in San Francisco, which is July 13.
The total number of hospitalizations from COVID-19 in Solano County has remained low — it went down to 10 last week from 14, and has remained there since — with 97 people hospitalized since the pandemic began. The county has also seen one of the lowest number of deaths in the Bay Area, with 23, though Napa and Sonoma Counties are tied for the lowest, with four apiece.
On May 27, I asked Benicia Mayor Elizabeth Patterson to ask Solano Public Health Officer Dr. Bela Matyas a number of questions about recent increases in the number of our youth who are showing up positive for COVID-19. The Mayor passed my questions on to Dr. Matyas that day, and on May 31, he replied with answers to all eight questions – see below.
BACKGROUND:
Solano County is reporting an upward trend in confirmed cases among young persons 18 and under, adding (as of today) 26 more positive cases over the last 20 days, having reported only 6 over the 5 weeks prior. (Latest update…)
MY QUESTIONS & DR. MATYAS’ ANSWERS…
How serious are these youth cases?
The youth cases are mostly asymptomatic, although a few have been mildly symptomatic.
How old – teens or young children?
While we have had a few young children, most of the youth are older teenagers.
Surely the increase can be partially explained away as a result of more testing, but that doesn’t mean the numbers are any less serious. Right?
The increased numbers are apparently the result of increased testing of asymptomatic household contacts of cases and testing of asymptomatic persons at the recently opened Optum sites in Vallejo and Vacaville; we are likely uncovering a phenomenon that has been present all along. As to seriousness, the percentage of positive youths we are seeing seems to match statewide and national numbers. These individuals, while not themselves experiencing serious illness, are nonetheless able to spread the virus to others.
Is the County conducting contact tracing for these youth?
Yes, just as for all positive cases.
Does the County have sufficient staffing for contact tracing?
So far, yes.
What can the County and cities do to intensify communication with our young people and parents?
Presumably, utilizing social media and school-based communication systems.
SO NOW WHAT?
I sincerely hope that parents and youth reading this will take note, and that the County and its cities and school districts will intensify communication about the serious reality of COVID-19 transmission among youth, and from youth to their elders.
UPDATE/CORRECTION: Solano County says Thursday’s FOX40 TV news report and Councilwoman Moy were incorrect:
From the Solano County Press Release late on May 7:
“The FOX 40 News report and comments by Fairfield Councilwomen Moy are incorrect. The County Public Health Officer has not indicated restaurants can or will open on Monday, May 11. The question Ms. Moy asked during a call with elected officials in Solano County was when could or would restaurants be able to open. The response was restaurants are in the medium-risk businesses category, meaning there is greater risk of spread of the disease in dine-in settings, and that the medium-risk category criteria is still being developed and would be shared with the Board and potentially could take affect later in the week.”
The incorrect news report previously posted here has been removed… The Benicia Independent apologizes for having spread false information.
FAIRFIELD — The independent mayor of Las Vegas wants the casinos reopened, and more than a handful of states have already moved in that direction.
Sutter County supervisors have ordered their top administrator to send a letter to the governor calling for him to ease some of the business restrictions, and then coordinate with neighboring counties about how to do that.
Not all Solano County officials are convinced the time is right.
“What does that look like?” Supervisor Erin Hannigan asked, rhetorically. She called the concept “frightening.”
“We’re not there yet, and we are following the lead of our governor and, of course, Dr. (Bela) Matyas,” Hannigan said of the county’s public health officer. She said safety must come first.
“It could be a worse situation than it is now, so we have to be very careful about what that looks like,” the board chairwoman said.
Matyas said the county is actually ready to reopen businesses as soon as the state gives permission, and had the county had the same testing capacity it has now back when the outbreak started, the county could be looking at the number of cases on the decline.
“We have been planning for staged relaxation for a long time,” Matyas said.
There have been daily discussions about how that can be accomplished, he said.
Matyas said it would likely come in stages, with recreational opportunities being first in line, including parks and golf, followed by businesses that can more easily control social distancing. Then there would be those businesses where that distancing would be more difficult to achieve, and finally large gatherings.
“We have no plans to go slower than the state,” Matyas said.
But he cautioned such an action by the state is not likely to happen before mid-May, and even then there has to be a strategy that takes in to consideration the differences of smaller rural counties and larger, more urbanized counties.
Matyas said there are three direct points of control that must be in place: protecting hospitals from a surge of the disease; contact tracing; and protecting the most vulnerable populations, such as the fragile elderly.
He said Solano County is prepared to handle all three of those issues right now.
Vacaville Mayor Ron Rowlett said he does favor opening some businesses sooner than later, but agrees a strategy needs to be in place. He also said that he has had conversations with some supervisors, though he would not say whom, and the city has met with the county administration multiple times on the topic.
“We have businesses in town that are older than (50 years) that are going to lose everything,” Rowlett said.
He said the city has heard from a number of business owners who are eager to reopen their doors, and will follow whatever rules the county and city set out.
Suisun City Mayor Lori Wilson said the city is following the guidelines set out by the state and the county. She said officials have talked about what steps will need to be taken once those health orders are lifted or eased in any way. She said no specifics have been determined.
“We don’t want to be regressive in any way,” Wilson said. “We’ve done a good job flattening the curve . . . and we want to be safe.”
Fairfield Mayor Harry Price said he is “ambivalent” on the topic.
He said he understands why the local business owners want to get back to business and make some money, and that is commendable. But he said the city needs to be cautious and fall on the side of health and safety.
“I don’t think we have enough evidence that we could do it on a large scale,” Price said.
He said he is buoyed by the fact residents seem to have accepted the social distancing platform, whereas just two or three weeks ago they seemed “unhappy and irritable.”
“I think that is a good sign. I think the people in Fairfield are taking it in stride, and that’s a good thing,” Price said.
That will help if and when businesses do start reopening, he said.
The Fairfield-Suisun Chamber of Commerce sent out a 14-question survey to its members that delves into a range of topics related to the novel coronavirus and the disease it causes, Covid-19. The topics include the issue of restarting the economy.
“Do you believe we are ready to start re-opening nonessential businesses?” is one of the questions.
On a broader scale, the chamber asked, “With the information you have now, when do you feel it would be best to resume normal small-group social activities?”
The results of the survey have not been made available. Chamber executive Debi Tavey could not be reached Wednesday for comment.
Deanna Deckard, owner broker of Windermere Greystoke Real Estate on Texas Street in Fairfield, said she believes the time is right to begin opening up certain kinds of businesses.
“In my opinion, for all of us to keep moving forward and for people to keep their heads above water, I think we have to ease some of those business restrictions,” Deckard said.
She understands not all businesses could be part of that, but she feels there are some that can control their clientele numbers and other Covid-19 socialization concerns.
Deckard said things are OK for real estate businesses now that the industry is considered an essential business. It took some lobbying to take if off the nonessential list, but it is an industry that has been using technology for a long time and physical contact with clients is no longer a necessity.
“Things are going OK in the real estate world; we’re marching right along,” the 17-year realty veteran said.
While the numbers for April are not in, yet, she noted that sales in March totaled 339, which is only slightly lower than the 365 that closed in March 2019. She said interest rates are driving the market.
“The interest rates are just too good,” Deckard said.
The bigger issue, she said, has been the lack of inventory, which has been an issue for several years. Listings for April are particularly low.
Deckard said most of the activity has been with first-time buyers and those buyers who are looking to move up in the market. The mix of Solano County residents or those coming into the county to take advantage of lower prices remains about the same as it has been.
“I’m optimistic for Solano County, for us,” Deckard said. “Our pricing is such that we are more affordable than other places in the Bay Area.”
She said house prices have fallen a bit, but it is still a good market for sellers and buyers.
Most people who have the novel coronavirus experience only mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough. Some people, especially older adults and those with underlying health problems, experience more severe illness such as pneumonia and at times, death.
Three people have died thus far in Solano County as a result of Covid-19. The vast majority of people recover. The World Health Organization reports people with mild illness recover in about two weeks, while those with more severe illness may take three to six weeks to recover.
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