Uptick in COVID-19 hospitalizations in Solano County, 2 youth hospitalized

[Note that Solano County publishes a DAILY update, and displays past weeks and months in epidemic curve charts.  However, the curve charts do not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  This methodology is accurate in a way, but it misleads the public by consistently displaying a recent downward curve which is often corrected upward on a later date. For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE – R.S.]

Thursday, August 13: 120 new cases overnight, no new deaths.  Since the outbreak started: 4,534 cases, 41 deaths.
Compare previous report, Wednesday Aug. 12:


  • Solano County reported 120 new cases today, total of 4,534 cases since the outbreak started.  Over the last 7 days, Solano reported 575 new cases, an average of 82 per day.
  • Deaths – no new deaths today, total of 41 deaths.
  • Active cases – Solano reported 84 more ACTIVE cases today, total of 315, back to mid-July levels.  Note that only 37 of these 315 people are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined.  I’ve been wondering for several weeks now… is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who will research this?  (See SF Chronicle report on contact tracing in Bay Area – “Solano County did not respond”.)
  • Hospitalizations – the number of currently hospitalized persons increased by 1 today, total of 38.  However, the total number hospitalized since the outbreak started increased significantly, adding 19, total of 195.  Seemingly, 19 were admitted and 18 were discharged?  (The County no longer reports Total Hospitalized, but I can add the new hospitalization numbers in the Age Group report – see below.)  Again now for a third week, the County offers no information about availability of ICU beds and ventilators.
  • Testing – The County reports today that 1,612 more residents were tested, new total of 61,870.  We still have a long way to go: only 13.8% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

Percent Positive Test Rate

Solano County reported today’s 7-day percent positive test rate rose from 4.1% Tuesday to 4.4% Wednesday and to 5.4% today.  Solano had never registered below 5% since the County began publicly reporting test rates on July 13. (Note that the positive test rate graphic chart may be misleading – see NOTE at top of this page.)  The County posted a high of 9.3% on July 22.  CONTEXT: Health officials and news reports focus on percent positive test rates as one of the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus.  The California 7-day rate was reported today at 6.7%.

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – an uptick of 15 new cases today, total of 456 cases. AND… for the first time since July 6, Solano County is reporting new hospitalizations among this very young age group: 2 new hospitalizations, a total of 4 hospitalizations since the outbreak began.  Still thankfully, no deathsIt is clear that our young people are catching the disease, some have required hospitalization, and it seems too many youth are ignoring public health orders.  Cases among Solano youth are 10% of the 4,534 total confirmed cases.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 73 new cases today, total of 2,776 cases.  This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents over 61% of the 4,534 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported 9 new hospitalizations in this age group today, the highest single-day increase so far, now totaling 57 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths among this age group, total of 3 deaths.  This young to middle age group is very active.  Some are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us.  I expect his group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 23 new cases today, total of 866 cases.  This age group represents 19% of the 4,534 total cases.  The County reported 2 new hospitalizations in this age group today, total of 57 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths among this age group, total of 4 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 9 new cases today, total of 435 cases.  This age group represents 9.6% of the 4,534 total cases6 new hospitalizations today, total of 77 hospitalized since the outbreak began.   No new deaths in this age group today, total of 34.  In this older age group, almost 18% of cases required hospitalization at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups.  This group accounts for 34 of the 41 deaths, or 83%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 4 new cases today, total of 108 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 17 new cases today, total of 296 cases.
  • Fairfield added 26 new cases today, total of 1,436.
  • Rio Vista remained steady today, total of 32 cases.
  • Suisun City added 5 new cases today, total of 330 cases.
  • Vacaville added 25 new cases today, total of 777 cases.
  • Vallejo added 43 (!) new cases today, total of 1,539 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas – Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 16 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  There are also tabs showing a calculated rate per 100,000 by race/ethnicity for each of these boxes.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  As of today:

  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 21% of cases, 24% of hospitalizations and 24% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 13% of cases, but 20% of hospitalizations, and 27% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 27% of cases, 33% of hospitalizations, and 24% of deaths.
  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases and 13% of hospitalizations, but 16% of deaths.

Much more…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.