Solano COVID-19 test rate reaches 6.3%, up from 4.1%


[For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE – R.S.]

Friday, August 14: 62 new cases overnight, no new deaths.  Since the outbreak started: 4,596 cases, 41 deaths.
Compare previous report, Thursday August 13:

Summary

  • Solano County reported 62 new cases today, total of 4,596 cases since the outbreak started.  Over the last 7 days, Solano reported 567 new cases, an average of 81 per day.
  • Deaths – no new deaths today, total of 41 deaths.
  • Active cases – Solano reported 1 fewer ACTIVE cases today, total of 314.  Note that only 43 of these 314 people are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined.  I’ve been wondering for several weeks now… is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who will research this?  (See SF Chronicle report on contact tracing in Bay Area – “Solano County did not respond”.)
  • Hospitalizations – the number of currently hospitalized persons increased by 5 today, total of 43.  However, the total number hospitalized since the outbreak started increased by only 1 (in the 50-64 age group), total of 196.  (Sorry, I can’t figure how this is possible…)  (Note that the County no longer reports Total Hospitalized, but I can add the new hospitalization numbers in the Age Group report – see below.)  For three weeks now, the County offers no information about availability of ICU beds and ventilators.
  • Testing – The County reports today that 877 more residents were tested, new total of 62,747.  We still have a long way to go: only 14% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

Percent Positive Test Rate

Solano County reported today’s 7-day percent positive test rate rose each of the last 3 days, from 4.1% Tuesday to 6.3% today.  (Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity curve chart which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  For instance, today’s chart shows test results only through Aug 11, when it spiked at 14% (!).  The 7-day curve also lags behind current unknown results.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE. – R.S.]  The County posted a 7-day test rate high of 9.3% on July 22.  CONTEXT: Health officials and news reports focus on percent positive test rates as one of the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus.  The California 7-day rate was reported today at 6.5%.

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 7 new cases today, total of 463 cases.  No new hospitalizations among this age group, a total of 4 hospitalizations since the outbreak began.  Thankfully, no deathsIt is clear that our young people are catching the disease, some have required hospitalization, and it seems too many youth are ignoring public health orders.  Cases among Solano youth are 10% of the 4,596 total confirmed cases.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 34 new cases today, total of 2,810 cases.  This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents over 61% of the 4,596 total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported no new hospitalizations in this age group today, total of 57 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths among this age group, total of 3 deaths.  This young to middle age group is very active.  Some are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us.  I expect his group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 12 new cases today, total of 878 cases.  This age group represents 19% of the 4,596 total cases.  The County reported 1 new hospitalization in this age group today, total of 58 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths among this age group, total of 4 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – 9 new cases today, total of 444 cases.  This age group represents 9.6% of the 4,596 total casesNo new hospitalizations today, total of 77 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this age group today, total of 34.  In this older age group, over 17% of cases required hospitalization at one time, a substantially higher percentage than in the lower age groups.  This group accounts for 34 of the 41 deaths, or 83%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 1 new cases today, total of 109 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 5 new cases today, total of 301 cases.
  • Fairfield added 17 new cases today, total of 1,453.
  • Rio Vista added 3 new cases today, total of 35 cases.
  • Suisun City added 7 new cases today, total of 337 cases.
  • Vacaville added 10 new cases today, total of 787 cases.
  • Vallejo added 19 new cases today, total of 1,558 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas – Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 16 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  There are also tabs showing a calculated rate per 100,000 by race/ethnicity for each of these boxes.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  As of today:

  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 22% of cases, 24% of hospitalizations and 24% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 13% of cases, but 20% of hospitalizations, and 27% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 27% of cases, 33% of hospitalizations, and 24% of deaths.
  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases and 13% of hospitalizations, but 16% of deaths.

Much more…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.