Solano County summer surge: 138 new COVID cases per day over last 2 days

By Roger Straw, Wednesday, August 4, 2021

Wednesday, August 4 in Solano County: 276 new COVID infections in last 2 days, positive test rate near 20%, percent of available ICU beds remains in  yellow  danger zone.

Solano County COVID dashboard SUMMARY:
[Sources: see below.  See also my ARCHIVE spreadsheet of daily Solano COVID updates.]

No new deaths reported today.  The County total remains 249 COVID deaths since the pandemic began.  The County reported  276 new COVID cases in the last 2 days, 138 per day!

TREND: Cases-per-day are dramatically up in July/August

Solano County is clearly experiencing a dramatic “summer surge” in cases.  Cases-per-day were trending downward in the Spring, but rose rapidly in July and are extremely high in early August:

Solano’s 836 ACTIVE cases is up from Monday’s high of 797, and nearing our remarkable high last Friday of 972, which was higher than anything since February 5, 2021.  Active cases are up alarmingly from 212 on July 2.

Solano Positive Test Rate INCREDIBLY HIGH – much higher than US & California!

Our 7-day average percent positivity rate was up again today from 17.6% on Monday to a new summer high of 19.7% today, our highest since last January 25, and over 3.5 times California’s rate and nearly twice the U.S. rate.  COMPARE: The California  rate rose today to 5.5% and today’s U.S. rate jumped to 10.5%.  [Source: Johns Hopkins]  The Delta Variant is among us and spreading fast.  Time to mask up again – watch out and take care!

Hospitalizations down a bit today, but still high!

CURRENT hospitalizations today fell from 85 to 80 persons, but (aside from Monday), still higher than anytime since February 11, 2021.

ICU Beds took a dramatic turn on Friday, falling to 26%, and remains at 26% today, in the County’s yellow danger zone for the first time since March 5, 2021.

Ventilators available today rose slightly today from 60% to 64%.

TOTAL Hospitalized The County’s Monday-Friday updates show an intake/discharge total of CURRENTLY hospitalized cases, but never report on the TOTAL hospitalized over the course of the pandemic.  That total must be independently discovered in the County’s occasional update of the Hospitalizations by Age Group chart.  The County did not update its Hospitalizations by Age Group chart today.  The Age Group chart shows a total of 2,022 persons hospitalized since the beginning of the outbreak, in the following age groups:

Age Group Hospitalizations % of Total
0-17 36 2%
18-49 581 29%
50-64 543 27%
65+ 862 43%
TOTAL 2,022 100%

Hospitalizations are also recorded on the County’s demographic chart labeled “Hospitalizations by Race / Ethnicity.”  The chart was not updated today.  Here are the current numbers.  Interestingly, the total doesn’t square with totals by age groups.

Race / Ethnicity Hospitalizations % of Total
Asians 321 17%
Black / African American 330 17%
Hispanic / Latinx 548 29%
White 614 32%
Multirace / Others 84 4%
TOTAL 1,897 100%
New State Guidelines…

COVID is clearly spreading again and surging in Solano County!  See California’s new Guidance for the Use of Face Coverings.  The new guidelines include a recommendation for universal masking indoors statewide, adding of Adult and Senior Care Facilities to settings where all individuals must wear masks indoors, and a reference to new requirements for unvaccinated workers.  Some California counties are returning to mandatory masks for all in crowded places.  In the Bay Area, Solano County is the only holdout against even RECOMMENDING masks in public indoors spaces.  Dr. Matyas needs to make some difficult decisions soon!

STUDY SHOWS HIGHER RATE OF “BREAKTHROUGH” CASES AMONG THE VACCINATED  – About wearing masks again, Social Distancing & Vaccination…

We heard seriously shocking news last Thursday about the large number of FULLY VACCINATED persons who are catching the virus and actively transmitting it.  As the Washington Post reports, “A sobering scientific analysis published Friday found that three-quarters of the people infected during an explosive coronavirus outbreak fueled by the delta variant were fully vaccinated. The report on the Massachusetts cases, from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, offers key evidence bolstering the hypothesis that vaccinated people can spread the more transmissible variant and may be a factor in the summer surge of infections.” 

This is HUGE!  We were just beginning to associate more freely with fully vaccinated friends and family, and now we are to understand that some among us may be asymptomatic and unknowingly transmitting the virus, and inevitably helping spread the disease to someone who knows someone, who knows someone else, who knows yet another someone who is not vaccinated, or who is too young or too health-compromised to be vaccinated – and who may end up seriously ill or even dead!

My personal plan is to mask indoors in public now, and we’re even wondering if we should mask indoors with vaccinated family and friends!  Sheeesh, I thought we were done with that!  Everyone PLEASE talk to anyone you know who isn’t vaccinated.  This thing ain’t over yet!

Cases by City on Wednesday, August 4:
  • Benicia added 10 new cases today, a total of 1,125 cases since the outbreak began, 4.1% of its population of 27,570.
  • Dixon added 11 new cases today, total of 2,043 cases, 10.3% of its population of 19,794.
  • Fairfield added 85 new cases today, total of 9,891 cases, 8.4% of its population of 117,149.
  • Rio Vista added 9 new cases today, total of 442 cases, 4.7% of its population of 9,416.
  • Suisun City added 26 new cases today, total of 2,574 cases, 8.7% of its population of 29,447.
  • Vacaville added 64 new cases today, a total of 9,584 cases, 9.7% its of population of 98,807.
  • Vallejo added 71 new cases today, a total of 10,756 cases, 9.0% of its population of 119,544.
  • Unincorporated remained steady today, a total of 110 cases (population figures not available).

COMPARE: From the most recent report on Solano County’s COVID Dashboard, Monday, August 2:

The data on this page is from today’s and the previous Solano County COVID-19 Dashboard.  The Dashboard is full of much more information and updated weekdays around 4 or 5pm.  On the County’s dashboard, you can hover a mouse or click on an item for more information.  Note the tabs at top for “SummaryDemographics” and “Vaccines.”  Click here to go to today’s Solano County Dashboard.