All posts by Roger Straw

Editor, owner, publisher of The Benicia Independent

John Ryan – Some background on political ambitions of Christina and Scott Strawbridge

[Editorial disclaimer: the following letter appeared on several social media sites and was printed in the Benicia Herald on October 11. It is questionable whether it is fair to characterize a candidate by reference to their spouse, but in this case, the complex political connections are relatively clear, and should be aired if not swallowed whole.  – R.S.]

By John Ryan, Benicia, Visual Storyteller
October 6, 2020

Recently, allegations and questions arose regarding the conduct of Christina’s husband, Scott Strawbridge, and attempts made to persuade Mr. Jason Diavatis to drop out of his mayoral campaign in an effort to help secure a win for his wife, Christina Strawbridge. Their response to these allegations were vague, misleading & lacking in critical detail.

Who is Scott Strawbridge and why does it matter?

When asked about Benicia’s controversial history with Valero spending hundreds of thousands of dollars in an effort to buy seats on our city council, most of us would likely jump to the 2018 election and their successful campaign to elect Lionel Largaespada & Christina Strawbridge using push polls and negative attack ads.

Most of us understood why Valero would choose to support Lionel given his support of Crude by Rail and his conservative politics.

However, in 2018, many were confused by their inclusion of Ms. Strawbridge, who claimed to have no idea why Valero’s PAC endorsed her.  It was a clever strategy that played well with the newer generation of Benicians living here less than ten years. Those of us who have followed local politics longer than a decade knew better.  Why?  Because Valero and their affiliated labor unions have spent hundreds of thousands of dollars trying to put a Strawbridge on the council.  And they started in 2007 with Scott Strawbridge; not Christina. For those of us who remember his campaign, the 2018 election felt like déjà vu.

In 2007, Scott Strawbridge (a retired top labor union negotiator for over 30 years) drew criticism for collecting $64,400 in campaign contributions, 95% of which came from out-of-area labor unions.  In fact, Scott only collected $5,400 from local donors which included a $2,500 loan he made to himself.  It did not include an additional $83K spent by PAC’s funded by Valero, Seeno & their labor unions.

In spite of spending over 5x the amount of money per vote than his opponent, Tom Campbell, Scott lost the election.

Four years later (with a less aggressive approach due to newly established election ordinances limiting contribution and spending limits), Christina succeeded where her husband failed, and won a city council seat in 2011.  When asked about the activity of a PAC conducting push polls in her favor during her campaign, she denied having any knowledge of it.  Ironically, it was her own husband’s controversial 2007 campaign that led to the City’s reformative action in local election laws still enforced today that now limit both of Christina Strawbridge’s opponents (Jason Diavatis and Steve Young) to a total campaign cap of $32,000 [correction: $34,200] while she reaps the benefits of a $300,000 Valero funded PAC account through the thin veil of plausible deniability.

This isn’t a new strategy.  Scott and Christina have been fighting their way to this year’s mayoral seat for over 13 years. It’s no coincidence that Valero, Seeno, and affiliated outside labor unions have backed a Strawbridge in their combined five runs for elected office by investing over half a million dollars. For Christina to maintain that she still has no idea why is nothing short of an insult to the intelligence of Benicia voters.

Mr. Macenski, please take note. While these words are my own, the extensive research and investigative work behind them, are not. The citations for my sources can be found at the list of links below; because plagiarism is inexcusable and unethical.

Thank you to Mr. Roger Straw (of The Benicia Independent) and Ms. Norma Fox for your diligence and hard work featured via the below links.

COVID report for Solano on October 9 – no new hospitalizations or deaths for 2 days in a row


No new hospitalizations or deaths for 2 days in a row…but still reporting 42 new positive cases today!

[Source: Solano County Coronavirus Dashboard.  For a complete archive of day by day data, see my Excel ARCHIVE.]

Friday, October 9: 42 new cases overnight, no new hospitalizations, no new deaths.  Since the outbreak began: 6,750 cases, 403 hospitalized, 74 deaths.Compare previous report, Thursday, Oct. 8:Summary

  • Solano County reported 42 new cases today, total of 6,750 cases since the outbreak started.  Over the last week, Solano reported 230 new cases, average of 33 per day.
  • Deaths – no new deaths today.  RECENT SPIKE: 19 deaths reported in the last 18 days, total of 74 Solano deaths since the pandemic began.
    Deaths reported Sept 22 – Oct 9:
    – 1 very young person 18-49 years;
    – 4 middle agers 50-64 years
    ;
    – 14 of our elders aged 65+
    ;
  • Active cases – Solano reported 13 additional ACTIVE cases today and another 61 new ACTIVE cases in the two days before, total of 284.  Note that only 22 of these 284 people are hospitalized, so there are a lot of infected folks out among us, hopefully quarantined.  Is the County equipped to contact trace so many infected persons?  Who knows?  To my knowledge, Solano County has offered no reports on contact tracing.
  • Hospitalizations – the number of currently hospitalized persons increased by 2 today, total of 22.  The total number hospitalized since the outbreak started remained unchanged, total of 403.  (See age group hospitalization stats below).
  • ICU Beds2 days ago, the County reported significantly fewer ICU beds available, down from 42% to only 30%.  This continued unchanged for 2 days, but returned to 43% today(After 8 weeks, still no information about availability of ventilators.)
  • Testing – The County reports today that 654 residents were tested overnight, new total of 93,506.  (Solano has AVERAGED just under 520 tested per day during the last 3 weeks.)  Solano has a long way to go; only 20.9% of Solano County’s 447,643 residents (2019) have been tested.

Positive Test Rate

Solano County reported today that our 7-day average test rate fell today from 5.6% to 5.0%.  Solano’s test rate crested the week of July 15-22, when it peaked at 9.3%.  The County has hit 7% (or more) three times since, on August 21, September 1 and September 2.  In the 5 weeks since then, our test rate was reported as high as 6.5% and as low as 2.7% (on Sept 11), averaging 4.23%.
Daily percent positive: On Oct. 7 the County’s line graph for positive test rate spiked to 12% on October 4.  The next day showed Oct. 4 at only 7%, and Oct. 5 at 11%.  Today, both are at 7%.  The only conceivable explanation is that past daily rates change as new reports come in to the County, so each newly reported day’s rate isn’t  meaningful information.  In future, I will only report on the 7-day average.  Average percent positive test rates are among the best metrics for measuring the spread of the virus.  The much more stable California 7-day test rate remained at 2.5% today(Note that Solano County displays past weeks and months in a 7-day test positivity line graph which also shows daily results.  However, the chart does not display an accurate number of cases for the most recent days, as there is a lag time in receiving test results.  The 7-day curve also lags behind current unknown results.) 

By Age Group

  • Youth 17 and under – 4 new cases today, total of 753 cases, representing 11.2% of the 6,750 total cases.  No new hospitalizations among this age group today, a total of 6 hospitalizations since the outbreak began.  Thankfully, no deaths have ever been reported in Solano County in this age groupBut cases among Solano youth rose steadily over the summer, from 5.6% of total cases on June 8 to 11% on August 31 and has plateaued just over 11% since September 30.  Youth are 22% of Solano’s general population, so this 11.x% may seem low.  The significance is this: 1) youth numbers increased steadily and at a faster rate than the other age groups, and 2) youth are SERIOUSLY NOT IMMUNE (!) – in fact 6 youth have now been hospitalized.
  • Persons 18-49 years of age – 27 new cases today, total of 4,033 cases. This age group is 41% of the population in Solano, but represents just under 60% of the total cases, by far the highest percentage of all age groups.  The County reported no new hospitalizations in this age group today, total of 131 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this young age group today, total of 5 deaths.  Some in this group are surely ignoring public health orders, and many are providing essential services among us.  I expect this group is a major factor in the spread of the virus.
  • Persons 50-64 years of age – 8 new cases today, total of 1,291 cases.  This age group represents 19% of the 6,750 total cases. No new hospitalizations today, total of 109 hospitalized since the outbreak began.  No new deaths in this age group today, a total of 15 deaths.
  • Persons 65 years or older – Today the County reported 3 new cases, total of 672.  No new hospitalizations, total of 157.  No new deaths, total of 54 of our elders who died of COVID.  This age group’s 672 cases represent 10% of the 6,750 total cases.  In this older age group, 23.4% of cases required hospitalization at one time.  This group accounts for 54 of the 74 deaths, or 73%.

City Data

  • Benicia added 1 new case today, total of 180 cases since the outbreak began.
  • Dixon added 3 new cases today, total of 436 cases.
  • Fairfield added 15 new cases today, total of 2,179 cases.
  • Rio Vista remained steady today, total of 54 cases.
  • Suisun City remained steady today, total of 493 cases.
  • Vacaville added 5 new cases today, total of 1,146 cases.
  • Vallejo added 18 new cases today, total of 2,240 cases.
  • Unincorporated areas remained steady today, total of 22 cases.

Race / Ethnicity

The County report on race / ethnicity includes case numbers, hospitalizations, deaths and Solano population statistics.  This information is discouragingly similar to national reports that indicate significantly worse outcomes among black and brown Americans.  Note that all of this data surely undercounts Latinx Americans, as there is a large group of “Multirace / Others” which likely is composed mostly of Latinx members of our communities.

  • Asian Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 9% of cases, 11% of hospitalizations, and 18% of deaths.
  • Black Americans are 14% of Solano’s population, and account for 11% of cases, but 18% of hospitalizations, and 24% of deaths.
  • Latinx Americans are 26% of Solano’s population, but account for 30% of cases, 29% of hospitalizations, and 20% of deaths.
  • White Americans are 39% of the population in Solano County, but only account for 21% of cases, 27% of hospitalizations and 30% of deaths.  NOTE: On September 24, the percentage of deaths of White Americans in Solano County began to rise sharply. After hovering at 20-21% for months, White American deaths rose to 31% in a matter of days.

More…

The County’s new and improved Coronavirus Dashboard is full of much more information, too extensive to cover here on a daily basis.  The Benicia Independent will continue to summarize daily and highlight a report or two.  Check out the Dashboard at https://doitgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=055f81e9fe154da5860257e3f2489d67.

Valero PAC spends another $17,000 for robo calls and live phone calls

By Roger Straw, October 9, 2020

2020 Campaign Finance Reports – Benicia Mayor

Reporting on forms required by Benicia ordinance, the Valero PAC that is attempting to buy the Benicia Mayor race detailed the expenditure of another $17,000 on  October 4.

Cumulative Valero PAC spending to date: $62,844.  (COMPARE: All candidates running for Benicia mayor and Council who pledge to run fair campaigns may not spend over $34,200 on their own campaigns.)

Details of new money spent for Christina Strawbridge to defeat Steve Young:

  • ROBO CALLS – Another $1,000
  • LIVE CALLS – Another $15,000
  • ROBO CALLS – Another $1,000

Both payments were made to WINNING CONNECTIONS, 317 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, WASHINGTON, DC.  Source: Benicia_Form_496_4.pdf and Benicia_Form_496_5.pdf.

I am tracking DETAILS of the Valero PAC’s 2020 campaign disclosure reports combined in a single Excel spreadsheet.  The sheet contains 2 tabs:

    • VALERO PAC Form460 CpgnDisclosr” is a record of Valero’s SUMMARY reports, showing 2020 income, expenses and cash balance.
    • Forms 465 & 496 IndExp” is a more interesting 2nd tab, showing in detail Valero’s individual expenditures.

REFERENCE: Valero PAC Financial Disclosures – City of Benicia website

Source: from the City of Benicia website, 2020 Campaign Finance Reports

VIDEO: Benicia Candidate Forum, League of Women Voters of Solano County

Many thanks to the LWV Solano, AAUW and Carquinez Village for hosting this important event!

On October 8, 6-8 pm, the the League of Women Voters Solano County, AAUW, and Carquinez Village sponsored a 2020 Benicia Candidates’ Forum.  The forum was recorded and is viewable ONLY on Youtube. [Playback on other websites has been disabled by the video owner.]

LWVSolano Benicia Candidate Forum https://youtu.be/BAgnHON8DU4
Click on this image to go to the LWVSolano Youtube channel