Tag Archives: Elon Musk

Stephen Golub: Betrayal

Just when it seems our actions and image can’t sink any lower, a wave of Trump betrayals cascaded over Ukraine this month.

Firefighters battle a blaze at a residential apartment building in Kyiv, Ukraine, following a large-scale Russian ballistic missile and drone strike on October 14, 2026, which also targeted key energy infrastructure and left hundreds of thousands without power. BBC
Benicia resident and author Stephen Golub, A Promised Land

By Stephen Golub, Benicia resident and author, “Benicia and Beyond” in the Benicia Herald, 10/18/2026, Updated for the Benicia Independent on October 20, 2026

>> For over 25 years, ending with the Covid era’s onset in 2020, I took numerous overseas consulting and research trips to support democratic development abroad. On those journeys, I was so often struck by how much foreigners admired America’s ideals or respected our power.

When I called a Polish legal aid program “great,” a young Polish law professor jokingly but approvingly replied, “Great! Typical American! So enthusiastic!”  Shortly after 9/11, I insisted to an Indonesian taxi driver that the attack caught us by surprise. His response suggested that he considered the United States omniscient and even omnipotent:  “America must have known! America knows everything!” During two visits to Ukraine, I encountered similar sentiments in a nation striving for democracy and prosperity after nearly seven decades of crushing, genocidal Soviet domination.

Most of my overseas contacts and colleagues were not blind to America’s sins and setbacks. But they also saw substantial  good in Americans, not least because of our help for their societies.

Times Have Changed

Those days of democratic hope and more general U.S. development support are gone. Donald Trump and Elon Musk slashed and burned the U.S Agency for International Development, with public health cuts potentially causing over 14 million deaths by 2030.

Trump has also alienated allies such as Canada and Denmark, both of which sacrificed soldiers for our Afghanistan war; embraced tyrants such as North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, with whom he exchanged “love letters” (in Trump’s own words), despite his expanding nuclear arsenal capable of destroying US cities; and pardoned world-class criminals, such as Honduras’s drug kingpin/former president, Juan Orlando Hernández, who was serving a 45-year sentence for conspiring to import 400 tons of cocaine into America.

All of this, and much more, has trashed our reputation abroad. Amazingly, China and its brutally repressive President Xi Jinping are now more admired in most surveyed countries than the United States and Donald Trump.

Even Worse

But just when it seems our actions and image can’t sink any lower, a wave of Trump betrayals cascaded over Ukraine this month. Not only is he abandoning  that beleaguered nation, which is helping us against Iran; he’s instead siding with Russia, which aids Iran as it targets American soldiers, allies and interests in the Middle East. More on that in a minute.

By  way of background, though: Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, in a campaign that most observers thought would topple Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s government in a matter of days or weeks. Instead, despite their more limited firepower and personnel, the Ukrainians brilliantly and heroically turned the tables on Russia, stymying and even reversing some of its advances.

Since 2022, Ukraine has mastered the art of drone warfare, to the point where it’s taking the offensive to a certain extent by targeting refineries, data centers and other economic and strategic targets deep inside Russia, with regrettable but relatively small and inadvertent numbers of civilian casualties. The attacks have taken a toll on the refineries in particular, thus constraining petro-state Russia’s resources for pursuing the war.

For its part, Russia has committed human rights abuses on massive scales: kidnapping thousands of Ukrainian kids, murdering Ukrainian civilians in areas its occupied, launching massive missile attacks against civilians and even escalating its crimes in recent weeks.

Which brings us back to this month’s news regarding Trump’s betrayal of Ukraine, first by suspending sanctions against Russian diesel transactions, a move that boosts Russia’s capacity to attack Ukraine while yielding little benefit for America. Here’s a good New York Times summary:

For [Ukraine], the blows came one after the next in just one very bad week.

Mr. Trump blamed the war launched by Russia against Ukraine almost five years ago for rising diesel prices, instead of what energy experts call the real cause: the war that Mr. Trump launched against Iran. He temporarily lifted U.S. sanctions on Russian diesel sales in what is likely to be a failed attempt to lower those prices. He unilaterally declared an “ENERGY CEASEFIRE” in the war that only helped Russia and hurt Ukraine. And he called for a new Ukrainian president.

Here’s how a leading conservative and former George W. Bush speechwriter, David Frum, summarized the significance of Trump suspending sanctions against Russian diesel sales:

But while the deal will not benefit American consumers, it has immense consequences for others. For Vladimir Putin’s Russia, the deal is a potential lifesaver. For war-ravaged Ukraine, it is the most outrageous and heartless Trump betrayal to date. For Trump’s entourage, the deal promises corruption opportunities on a multibillion-dollar scale.

But wait, as a dystopian game show host might say, there’s more! In the past week, Trump has dumped far more betrayal on Ukraine. As another useful NY Times summary put it, after suspending the diesel sanctions, Trump:

…lifted [broader] sanctions on Russia and pressured Ukraine to stop hitting Russian oil refineries. Kyiv began reporting sudden restrictions on a Pentagon-funded satellite internet network, gaps in the sharing of U.S. military intelligence and delays in the delivery of American interceptor missiles…

[Tensions] reached a new pitch on Monday when Mr. Trump said that “Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine” and that “they haven’t been doing much” — even as Ukrainian civilian casualties from Russian attacks have reached new highs, rising by 85 percent last month compared with a year before, according to the United Nations.

Aiding the Enemy

All of this is against the backdrop of Russia’s intense, ongoing aid to Iran in its war against America. As confirmed by General Dan Caine, Chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, this includes sharing intelligence information and satellite imagery that helps Iran target US soldiers, bases and interests.

Russia is also: supplying Iran with a variety of armaments, including  drone components and possibly entire drones for use against US soldiers and our Middle Eastern allies; exploiting the Caspian Sea (which both countries border on) and Russia’s secretive “shadow fleet” of ships to help Iran evade sanctions and obtain weapons and other supplies; and aiding Iran’s construction of nuclear facilities.

In contrast, drawing on its years of experience battling Russia, Ukraine is helping the US and our Middle Eastern allies with anti-drone equipment, training and advice and electronic countermeasures so as to limit the impact of Iran’s attacks. It’s asked for US aid in the forms of anti-missile weaponry and negotiating a ceasefire with Russia on fair terms that don’t amount to Ukrainian surrender.

In response to Ukraine’s aid, everything Trump has done is the strategic equivalent of multiple stabs in Ukraine’s back.

Why should America care about Ukraine? Because if Russia triumphs there, it may in turn attack other European allies, most immediately the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia or Lithuania. Because further aggression could drag us into a far more costly war – one that, unlike in Ukraine, puts American lives at risk. Because it’s also seeking to undermine our other European allies. Because by destabilizing those allies, Russia threatens America’s mutually beneficial economic relations with them, which have been a source of much of our prosperity. Because Russia’s attack is not just against Ukraine, but against a rules-based world order that America has supported to our own great economic and strategic benefit through Republican and Democratic administrations alike since World War II – until Trump came along.

Finally, because backing a democracy and fighting a dictator, at no cost to us in terms of lives and at minimal cost to our finances at this point (since European nations now provide much of the support), is the right thing to do.

The Biggest Betrayal

Which brings me back to that Polish law professor and that Indonesian taxi driver. Like so many across the globe, they admired America for its good intentions or respected us for our pure power. They weren’t blind to the mistakes we’ve made and the destructive things we’ve sometimes done. But they still saw a country, that for all its faults, and through Republican and Democratic administrations alike, was often a force for stability, prosperity and democracy.

Who could say that now, as Trump smashes alliances and embraces autocrats – even ones like Putin, who aids Iran even as it seeks to slaughter our soldiers? As we struggle against that despicable Iranian regime, which Trump’s impulsive war of choice has only strengthened (with Russia’s help), a war that our standing around the world has only weakened? As America First becomes America Last in much of the world? As Make America Great Again becomes Make America Mocked Again?

The biggest betrayal, then, is not what Trump is doing to Ukraine or our other allies, as despicable as those acts are. It’s what he’s doing to us at home and what he’s doing to our ideals, our image, our respect and our power across the globe.

Trump’s biggest betrayal is of America.


Benicia resident and author Stephen Golub, A Promised Land

Stephen Golub writes about democracy and politics, both in America and abroad, at A Promised Land: America as a Developing Country.

…and… here’s more Golub on the Benicia Independent

Back to top

Over 60 dead in Texas flooding – Trump and DOGE staffing cuts responsible?

Federal forecast concerns surface in Texas’ deadly flooding debate

Damage in Kerrville on July 5, 2025, following a flash flood event on Independence Day (KXAN photo/Tom Miller)

KXAN, Austin, Texas NBC affiliate, by Josh Hinkle and David Barer, July 5, 2025 (updated July 6, 2025)

KERR COUNTY, Texas (KXAN) — State and local officials are calling out federal forecasters amid deadly flooding in the Texas Hill Country over the extended Fourth of July weekend. The criticism comes, as funding cuts and staff shortages plague the National Weather Service and other emergency management agencies nationwide.

Texas Department of Emergency Management Chief Nim Kidd told reporters Friday original forecasts from the National Weather Service predicted 4 to 8 inches of rain in that area, “but the amount of rain that fell in this specific location was never in any of those forecasts.”

“Listen, everybody got the forecast from the National Weather Service, right?” Kidd said. “You all got it, you’re all in media, you got that forecast. It did not predict the amount of rain that we saw.”

Kidd added TDEM “worked with our own meteorologist to finetune that weather statement” but did not elaborate on any updated interpretation that would have led to more urgent warnings for evacuations.

The area actually received a much more significant amount of rain that night, with NWS observed totals exceeding 10 inches just west of Kerrville, near where dozens were killed or remain missing – including several children at a summer camp.

Localized LCRA rainfall totals in the region have exceeded 18 inches in some places.

The Guadalupe River in Kerrville measured just under a foot on Thursday, leading up to midnight. At about 4 a.m. Friday, the river rose over 30 feet in less than two hours, according USGS data.

Critical communication

On Friday, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick also said during a separate press event that TDEM Region 6 Assistant Chief Jay Hall “personally contacted the judges and mayors in that area and notified them all of potential flooding.” KXAN has requested record of that communication to verify that statement and its level of urgency.

Acting Gov. Dan Patrick being briefed (KXAN photo/Jordan Belt)

“Yesterday morning, the message was sent,” Patrick added. “It is up to the local counties and mayors under the law to evacuate if they feel a need. That information was passed along.”

NWS issued a flash flood warning at 1:14 a.m. Friday for a portion of Kerr County – where the majority of flood-related deaths have been reported. But it would be at least four hours before any county or city government entity posted directions to evacuate on social media.

City and county officials have yet to fully explain the timing of their Facebook posts surrounding the height of the flood or other ways they might have notified people near the water. Kerrville Mayor Joe Herring, Jr., said Saturday the city had done an “admirable” job making sure all information was available to the public. KXAN is awaiting responses after requesting records of communication between city, county and state officials to better understand decisions regarding their public warnings.

Kerr County Judge Rob Kelly has claimed officials “didn’t know this flood was coming.”

“This is the most dangerous river valley in the United States, and we deal with floods on a regular basis – when it rains, we get water,” Kelly said to reporters Friday. “We had no reason to believe this was going to be anything like what has happened here, none whatsoever.”

Kerrville City Manager Dalton Rice reiterated that apparent lack of awareness, telling the media Friday: “This rain event sat on top of that and dumped more rain than what was forecasted.”

Following those statements, the NWS provided additional details on its notification timeline for the Kerr County flood, including:

  • The National Water Center Flood Hazard Outlook issued on Thursday morning indicated an expansion of flash flood potential to include Kerrville and surrounding areas.
  • A flood watch was issued by the NWS Austin/San Antonio office at 1:18 p.m. on Thursday, in effect through Friday morning.
  • The Weather Prediction Center issued three Mesoscale Precipitation Discussions for the excessive rainfall event as early as 6:10 p.m. Thursday indicating the potential for flash flooding.
  • The National Water Center Area Hydrologic Discussion #144 at 6:22 p.m. on Thursday messaged locally considerable flood wording for areas north and west of San Antonio, including Kerrville.
  • At 1:14 a.m. Friday, a flash flood warning with a considerable tag (which denotes high-damage threats and will automatically trigger Wireless Emergency Alerts on enabled mobile devices and over NOAA Weather Radio) was issued for Kerr County.
  • The flash flood warning was upgraded to a flash flood emergency for southcentral Kerr County as early as 4:03 a.m. Friday.
  • The 5:00 a.m. National Water Center Area Hydrologic Discussion #146 on Friday included concern for widespread considerable flooding through the day. The Flood Hazard Outlook was also upgraded to considerable and catastrophic.
  • A flash flood emergency was issued for the Guadalupe River at 5:34 a.m.

KXAN is awaiting additional responses from the NWS on that timeline. KXAN also requested comments from Kidd and from NWS Austin/San Antonio Meteorologist in Charge Pat Vesper regarding how recent federal funding cuts might have impacted weather forecasting abilities in Texas.

TDEM responded but did not answer KXAN’s questions or indicate when Kidd would be available to speak directly about those issues. An NWS spokesperson said Vesper’s office “is focused on forecast operations right now, as flash flooding is ongoing.”

NWS staffing concerns

While state and local officials have not publicly – nor outright – blamed the Trump Administration’s financial decisions for any possible forecasting issues, public accusations on social media and elsewhere point to their timing during severe weather season.

For instance, directly under Vesper at the local NWS office is a key position – warning coordination meteorologist (WCM) – that has remained vacant since April. The role was most recently held by longtime employee Paul Yura, who took an early retirement package offered to agency workers as the administration worked to reduce the budget and personnel number at the NWS and its parent agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Yura, who KXAN recently reported spent more than half of his 32-year career at the local NWS office, gained tremendous experience understanding local weather patterns while ensuring timely warnings get disseminated to the public in a multitude of ways. The importance of his role as WCM cannot be understated.

Ensuring ample and timely warning to Central Texas counties was among the chief responsibilities. According to NOAA, “The WCM coordinates the warning function of the office with the outside world. This would include heading the Skywarn Program, conducting spotter training and being a voice to the local media for the office.”

Following the Kerr County flood, KXAN reached out to Yura – who referenced a hiring freeze in his retirement message to the media – but he referred questions to an NWS public affairs official.

Along with Yura’s job, five other vacancies in the local NWS office have stacked up, according to its online staff roster and the NWS Employees Organization. Those include two meteorologists, two technology staff members and a science officer. The office has 26 employees when fully staffed.

Federal funding and staff cuts

The administration made cuts to the federal workforce an early priority in Trump’s second presidential term this year, and those reductions extended to the NWS.

In May, NBC News reported the agency was working to shuffle employees to cover 150 positions that were vacated by the firings of probationary employees and early retirements of other longtime workers.

Some forecasting offices were left without overnight service, though no Texas offices were mentioned among those.

Tom Fahy, the NWSEO legislative director, then told NBC the staff cuts could increase risk and damage the agency’s ability to respond to a disaster.

Fahy told KXAN on Saturday the Central Texas flooding “was indeed a flash precipitation event,” leading to massive rainfall – something the local NWS office still had “adequate staffing and resources” to handle, despite its vacancies.

“They issued timely forecasts and warnings leading up to the storm,” he said, also referencing flood watches “out well in advance” the day before the waters rose.

In early June, the NWS was seeking to hire at least 126 people across the country, including meteorologists, following previous staff cuts, The Hill reported. A NOAA spokesperson told the outlet the NWS would be conducting “short term temporary duty assignments” and providing “reassignment opportunity notices” to fill field offices with the “greatest operational needs.”

The NWS Austin/San Antonio Weather Forecast Office currently has a 15% vacancy rate for meteorologists. The office’s total vacancy rate was 12% at the beginning of the year, but that increased to 23% by the end of April when employees took buyouts, Fahy confirmed to KXAN.

Federal officials visiting

President Trump posted on Truth Social he is “working with State and Local Officials on the ground in Texas in response to the tragic flooding,” ahead of U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem visit to represent the administration in Kerrville Saturday.

During a press conference after surveying the area, Noem told reporters the amount of rain in this flooding event was “unprecedented,” underscoring the reason Trump is working to “fix” aging technology within NOAA.

“I do carry your concerns back to the federal government and back to President Trump,” she said, acknowledging the need for upgraded technology to give “families have as much warning as possible.”

Central Texas flooding

Central Texas and the Hill Country are broadly known for major floods. With one of the highest risks for flash flooding in the country, the area has earned the nickname “flash flood alley,” according to LCRA.

This weekend’s tragedy isn’t the first.

Blanco River flood in San Marcos May 27 2015. Courtesy: Getty Images

In 1987, a flood hit the Guadalupe River, pushing the waterway up 29 feet and catching a church camp bus, according to the NWS. The bus, which was being used to evacuate dozens of children, was swept away and 10 children were killed.

Again, in 1998, flooding struck the region. On Oct. 17 and 18 that year a storm dropped roughly 30 inches of rain near San Marcos. Homes along the Guadalupe River near Canyon Lake and down to Seguin were washed off their foundations, NWS reported.

Musk desperate, makes wild claims in effort to calm Tesla employees’ fears

Musk deploys squandered credibility in desperate bid to hold ailing Tesla together

The Rachel Maddow Show, March 21, 2025

TRANSCRIPT (Note this has not been proofed for errors. Thanks to ChatGPT):

RACHEL MADDOW >> I mentioned at the top, right at the top, this bizarre story about President Trump’s top campaign donor, Elon Musk, somehow reportedly being slated for the kind of high-level war plans briefing that no campaign donor should ever be invited to.

On the eve of that planned briefing last night, Elon Musk apparently found time to convene an all-hands meeting for employees of his car company, Tesla. They called this all-hands meeting for every employee of the company for 9 p.m. last night. They scheduled it as a livestream event on Twitter, which is owned by Mr. Musk. The livestream promptly crashed and shut down for about half an hour. They eventually got it restarted, whereupon Mr. Musk got online with his employees at his car company and begged them not to sell their stock in Tesla, which many Tesla executives and board members have recently done.

He told his employees that things were about to become immeasurably better, unimaginably better. Quote, “What’s the most exciting future that you could possibly imagine?” A future of abundance for all, where you could literally just have anything you want? Elon Musk explained to his employees that these unimaginably good times are right around the corner.

He told Tesla employees, literally, “Hang on to your stock.” He told them, there are times when there are rocky moments, a little bit of stormy weather. But I’m here to tell you the future is bright and exciting. He also told them that they should feel good about these reassurances from him and definitely not sell their stock the way his executives and board members have been. They should really feel good about his assurances about the future because he has such a good track record of his predictions coming true.

He explained this to his employees last night, which occasions—I feel like it’s only fair—just a reminder of what his predictions have actually been like over time. This, for example, was Elon Musk speaking in 2017:

“I think we’re still on track for being able to go cross-country from LA to New York by the end of the year. Fully autonomous.”

“So, by the end of the year, you’re saying someone’s going to sit in a Tesla without touching the steering wheel, tap in New York, and off it goes?”

“Yeah. Won’t have to ever touch the wheel by the end of 2017. Yeah. Essentially, November or December of this year, we should be able to go all the way from a parking lot in California to a parking lot in New York. No controls touched at any point during the entire journey. Amazing.”

Imagine if you were in the audience at that event, looking back now in 2025, and realizing that you might have been one of the people who applauded that. Did you buy stock too? I love the part where he’s like, “November, maybe December,” like he thinks it’s a speaking engagement in 2017, and he’s saying, “By November—might be December—but then we’ll have it.”

Then the following year, in 2018, he said, “Yeah, actually rescheduled. Now it’s going to happen by 2019.”

“I think probably by the end of next year, self-driving will encompass essentially all modes of driving and be at least 100 to 200% safer than a person by the end of next year. We’re talking like maybe 18 months from now.”

So that was him in 2019 saying, “No, no, no. I was saying it would all be done by 2019.” This was him in 2019 saying, “No, no, maybe it’ll be done by 2020, but by then it’s not going to be your own car. By then it’s going to be taxis. The taxis are going to be driving themselves by 2020.”

“I feel very confident in predicting autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year.”

Autonomous robotaxis for Tesla next year. By 2020.

Luckily, by the time none of these things came to pass when he said they would, none of us cared. Because as of then—meaning as of now—we’re all living on Mars.

“I think if things go according to plan, we should be able to launch people probably in 2024, with arrival in 2025.”

Again, he’s just doing the math right there. You see him squint? “Well, we’re going to be… How long will it take to… 2024. We’re going to be shooting people off to Mars, and they’ll get there by 2025.” Confident.

Here it is, 2025. Mars isn’t nearly as hot as I thought it would be.

These are the kinds of predictions that he has used to stoke the hype around himself and his companies, year after year after year after year. It’s a running joke, right? His predictions. But the faith in Elon Musk and in all the things that he can see coming true in the future has driven him to the position that he’s in now with our U.S. government.

Meanwhile, in his actual businesses, Tesla stock has lost over 50% of its value in the past three months. Edmunds.com just reported that more people are trading in their Teslas than ever before. The share of Teslas among all cars they’re seeing being traded in is 300% higher right now than it was this time last year.

When JP Morgan radically slashed their forecast for Tesla sales this quarter, their analysts said this week, “We struggle to think of anything analogous in the history of the automotive industry in which a brand has lost so much value so quickly.”

And that was before we found out that they were recalling nearly all Cybertrucks on the road for the eighth time—this time for the risk of pieces of the body coming loose and flying off in traffic.

Weirdly, that kind of thing shouldn’t have to factor into news.